Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aea8c837d6716deb62216bd94c8d064c1f441982d5d2acf07e3050db9c0a511
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- XLG Gamingof Trace Esports, XLG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Trace Esports | 41c | 18,501$7,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,559.83 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked XLG Gaming | 77c | 10,211$7,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.08 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed XLG Gaming | 45c | 9,060$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,983.08 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Trace Esports | 25c | 1,945$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.6 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Trace Esports | 47c | 1,915$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.91 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed XLG Gaming | 65c | 1,831$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.24 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Trace Esports | 27c | 1,486$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.1 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…ee42backed XLG Gaming | 75c | 1,228$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Trace Esports | 24c | 1,112$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.67 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Trace Esports | 21c | 1,038$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.4 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked XLG Gaming | 50c | 903.04$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.72 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Trace Esports | 21c | 881.44$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.51 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed XLG Gaming | 75c | 801.28$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed XLG Gaming | 75c | 744.06$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.01 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Trace Esports | 38c | 708.29$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.3 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Trace Esports | 25c | 675.85$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.04 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked XLG Gaming | 46c | 588.38$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.47 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Trace Esports | 51c | 572.09$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.92 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Trace Esports | 38c | 554.1$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.41 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Trace Esports | 24c | 544.13$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.26 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…640fbacked Trace Esports | 18c | 535.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 442.96$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.34 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked XLG Gaming | 69c | 420.79$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.41 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…0324backed XLG Gaming | 73c | 419.05$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.14 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Trace Esports | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed XLG Gaming | 63c | 398.92$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.02 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…7354backed XLG Gaming | 76c | 396.76$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed XLG Gaming | 52c | 351.13$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.54 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Trace Esports | 25c | 347.06$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bb…e26bbacked XLG Gaming | 73c | 320$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…e8b6backed XLG Gaming | 73c | 320$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked XLG Gaming | 61c | 310.43$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.24 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae5…5d19backed XLG Gaming | 73c | 310$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…694cbacked XLG Gaming | 73c | 310$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x453b…db4abacked Trace Esports | 27c | 305.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc8…a2e4backed Trace Esports | 27c | 305.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed XLG Gaming | 77c | 304.92$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed XLG Gaming | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed XLG Gaming | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…04bbbacked XLG Gaming | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3192…71fbbacked XLG Gaming | 73c | 299.84$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c44…5d15backed Trace Esports | 27c | 296.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548e…9d41backed Trace Esports | 27c | 296.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Trace Esports | 48c | 290.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…083cbacked Trace Esports | 27c | 286.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…5cd6backed Trace Esports | 27c | 286.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Trace Esports | 22c | 273.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c0…ac76backed XLG Gaming | 54c | 270.53$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked XLG Gaming | 53c | 267.55$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.26 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed XLG Gaming | 76c | 263.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed XLG Gaming | 74c | 240.71$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Trace Esports | 29c | 230.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Trace Esports | 25c | 228.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed XLG Gaming | 73c | 228.57$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Trace Esports | 26c | 216.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Trace Esports | 31c | 204.58$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 202.33$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed XLG Gaming | 48c | 200.81$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked XLG Gaming | 52c | 188.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 182.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trace Esports | 47c | 171.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Trace Esports | 51c | 162.56$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 157.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed XLG Gaming | 49c | 156.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Trace Esports | 52c | 152.87$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed XLG Gaming | 74c | 150.66$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 150.13$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Trace Esports | 33c | 149.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850d…2f25backed XLG Gaming | 74c | 132.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Trace Esports | 52c | 132.63$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed XLG Gaming | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked XLG Gaming | 63c | 126.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…a999backed XLG Gaming | 80c | 123.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed XLG Gaming | 49c | 123.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked XLG Gaming | 55c | 122.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked XLG Gaming | 45c | 117.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked XLG Gaming | 58c | 109.49$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Trace Esports | 26c | 106$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed XLG Gaming | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Trace Esports | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ba…ee0ebacked XLG Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Trace Esports | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked XLG Gaming | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed XLG Gaming | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed XLG Gaming | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed XLG Gaming | 51c | 99.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Trace Esports | 46c | 98.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a5…08c5backed Trace Esports | 28c | 97.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…a9f2backed XLG Gaming | 80c | 96.85$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed XLG Gaming | 55c | 95.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed XLG Gaming | 73c | 95.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…02ffbacked XLG Gaming | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Trace Esports | 27c | 90.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Trace Esports | 48c | 89.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…4690backed XLG Gaming | 80c | 84.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…a8f4backed XLG Gaming | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…c211backed Trace Esports | 76c | 77.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed Trace Esports | 30c | 73.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed XLG Gaming | 70c | 70.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Trace Esports | 27c | 70.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegathis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)Trace Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 WinnerTrace Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.