TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Trace Esportsof Trace Esports, XLG Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,262 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf78…7736backed Trace Esports63c4,095$2,584 inWon+$1,510.33650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Trace Esports33c1,467$484 inWon+$983.0526738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed XLG Gaming67c1,191$798 inLost-$797.9332141.7%134 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed XLG Gaming30c1,146$347 inLost-$346.626634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked XLG Gaming52c856.6$448 inLost-$447.8717463.8%111 W · 63 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked XLG Gaming50c499$250 inLost-$249.53627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-45.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed XLG Gaming29c398.64$114 inLost-$114.1535331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked XLG Gaming40c385.6$154 inLost-$154.241323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-50.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked XLG Gaming17c315$53 inLost-$52.658828.4%25 W · 63 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed XLG Gaming17c287.93$49 inLost-$49.0326730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed XLG Gaming17c270$45 inLost-$45.313035.4%46 W · 84 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked XLG Gaming42c248.69$105 inLost-$105.241,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed XLG Gaming67c174.1$117 inLost-$116.6434253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Trace Esports38c159.78$60 inWon+$99.8119157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed XLG Gaming40c144.6$58 inLost-$57.846852.9%36 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed XLG Gaming30c143$43 inLost-$42.623146.8%108 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked XLG Gaming40c119$48 inLost-$47.69133%30 W · 61 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31fa…a8f4backed XLG Gaming63c100$63 inLost-$638865.9%58 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed XLG Gaming67c73.15$49 inLost-$49.0112656.3%71 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed XLG Gaming54c67.24$36 inLost-$36.31,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed XLG Gaming67c64.53$43 inLost-$43.2453442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed XLG Gaming40c64.09$25 inLost-$25.481,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Trace Esports33c58.18$19 inWon+$38.9816842.3%71 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed XLG Gaming40c47.66$19 inLost-$19.0630544.3%135 W · 170 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Trace Esports51c45.23$23 inWon+$22.0632152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed XLG Gaming66c44.12$29 inLost-$29.1220840.9%85 W · 123 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Trace Esports34c42.37$14 inWon+$27.9623732.9%78 W · 159 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked XLG Gaming41c40$16 inLost-$16.410341.7%43 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Trace Esports50c36.47$18 inWon+$18.2445033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4470…c22ebacked XLG Gaming40c36.15$14 inLost-$14.461315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-69.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed XLG Gaming44c35.57$16 inLost-$15.533831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked XLG Gaming41c30.68$12 inLost-$12.452231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked XLG Gaming41c30.68$12 inLost-$12.451030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked XLG Gaming46c25.9$12 inLost-$11.9621951.6%113 W · 106 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8cc…a005backed XLG Gaming79c24.99$20 inLost-$19.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed XLG Gaming71c20.81$15 inLost-$14.7815255.9%85 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked XLG Gaming71c19.82$14 inLost-$14.0726758.8%157 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.