Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf77e09808f5915790361c305cb7e4ada2d53e345676ce7a4e0afa6c2f4d3f3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- XLG Gamingof Trace Esports, XLG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked XLG Gaming | 73c | 3,722$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.23 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed XLG Gaming | 67c | 1,322$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.35 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Trace Esports | 33c | 1,242$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.86 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Trace Esports | 27c | 1,182$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.03 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed Trace Esports | 27c | 1,098$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked XLG Gaming | 52c | 811.08$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.32 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +11.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Trace Esports | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Trace Esports | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Trace Esports | 27c | 489.29$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.18 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Trace Esports | 29c | 455.23$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.51 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Trace Esports | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed XLG Gaming | 67c | 294.06$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked XLG Gaming | 77c | 222.73$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked XLG Gaming | 58c | 186.21$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Trace Esports | 29c | 160.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed XLG Gaming | 73c | 134.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trace Esports | 28c | 133.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked XLG Gaming | 70c | 122.91$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trace Esports | 29c | 76.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Trace Esports | 40c | 75.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed XLG Gaming | 71c | 66.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…02ffbacked Trace Esports | 41c | 59.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed Trace Esports | 25c | 58.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Trace Esports | 27c | 51.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…a8f4backed XLG Gaming | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Trace Esports | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed XLG Gaming | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Trace Esports | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Trace Esports | 43c | 40.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Trace Esports | 27c | 38.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked XLG Gaming | 59c | 34.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked XLG Gaming | 63c | 31.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Trace Esports | 36c | 29.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed XLG Gaming | 72c | 26.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)Trace Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group OmegaXLG Gaming won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 WinnerTrace Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.