TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3317…a9f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.55
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$63.39
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.38
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.97
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$16.2
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.12
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$16
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$54.55
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$29.13
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$25.27
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56.93
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$21.67
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.13
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.71
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.81
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.71
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.25
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.07
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.08
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$21.12
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.55
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
All 17 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.96
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.3
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$28.04
Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.37
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Valorant: T1 vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$21.82
Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$36.62
Valorant: Nova Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.5
Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.95
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$26.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Split: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Nerman Faticbacked Nerman Fatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.