TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,705,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,900,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,705,029 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Hornets31c164,515$51,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113,515.5643542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Hornets39c162,667$62,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,750.111955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets31c161,290$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,290.3236549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Celtics69c112,125$77,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,494.1351354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics69c87,572$60,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,424.6787144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Celtics70c83,289$58,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,197.678944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Celtics70c68,882$48,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,217.3266248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Celtics69c55,000$37,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,899.7918747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x246f…d648backed Celtics0c48,830$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.831346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Celtics69c47,694$33,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,107.110952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Celtics0c42,733$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9716919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets30c40,835$12,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,584.211,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets70c36,040$25,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,637.371,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Hornets30c33,300$9,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,31059347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…ea04backed Celtics69c31,732$21,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,895757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets50c31,071$15,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,534.592,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Hornets32c28,155$8,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,156.8311737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Celtics2c27,861$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.041,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e9b…945abacked Celtics69c27,819$19,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,194.954151.2%21 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Celtics0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Celtics10c25,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets66c24,728$16,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,475.231,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13c1…1931backed Celtics2c21,979$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4421241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick30cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Hornets31c21,362$6,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,660.9928554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Hornets30c20,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,999.7320454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets74c19,447$14,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,059.215,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Celtics5c19,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Hornets39c18,936$7,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,592.989336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Hornets30c18,226$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,725.819018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Hornets31c17,570$5,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,184.2259653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Hornets30c17,006$5,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,904.4538251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079e…8254backed Hornets31c17,000$5,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,7305750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd501…b86ebacked Celtics19c16,876$3,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,226.773748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Celtics48c16,529$7,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,916.0862652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6503…0c3dbacked Celtics18c16,400$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,992.981275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Hornets31c16,295$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,195.0218140.3%73 W · 108 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics69c15,712$10,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,788.294,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Hornets31c15,590$4,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,757.15139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacba…40a1backed Celtics5c15,116$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.972941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x646e…3b1dbacked Celtics69c15,050$10,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,434.896023.3%14 W · 46 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-46.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets80c14,956$11,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,011.073,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics16c13,944$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,203.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Celtics1c13,459$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.877211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Hornets31c13,000$4,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,9706943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Celtics69c13,000$8,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,969.988052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Celtics70c12,714$8,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,90010158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf05…291bbacked Celtics52c12,000$6,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,280.252744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Celtics10c12,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2401,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Hornets55c11,376$6,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,083.2127865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Celtics1c11,203$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.451,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30e9…390ebacked Celtics38c10,480$3,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,976.121675%12 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Celtics10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Celtics69c10,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9002050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Celtics0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Celtics10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Celtics10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Hornets31c10,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,949.978944.9%40 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Celtics35c9,933$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics69c9,810$6,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,770.91,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics69c9,587$6,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,624.894,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Celtics69c9,500$6,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5556357.1%36 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Celtics1c9,170$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.143179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa288…8a1dbacked Celtics8c8,870$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.13046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Hornets31c8,744$2,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,033.1762539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Celtics3c8,298$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.8534136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Hornets31c8,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,52032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Celtics69c7,110$4,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,905.643941%16 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdab7…24ecbacked Hornets71c7,107$5,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.3916065%104 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Hornets31c7,100$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,89910035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Celtics69c7,100$4,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,898.929758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Celtics69c7,000$4,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,829.7735251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Celtics69c6,900$4,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,79217162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets78c6,810$5,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.54,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets45c6,732$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,711.982,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Celtics0c6,502$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.278820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Hornets30c6,500$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,519.8647028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics22c6,457$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.011,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Celtics69c6,377$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4006357.1%36 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Celtics45c6,300$2,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,81426444.7%118 W · 146 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Hornets31c6,200$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2788441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Celtics69c6,200$4,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,277.985444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Celtics3c6,121$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.931,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Hornets31c6,085$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,198.689741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Hornets31c5,802$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,001.5916421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b4d…ae93backed Celtics63c5,795$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6502638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Celtics3c5,610$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.7781529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Hornets32c5,313$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,612.522035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Celtics70c5,174$3,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,621.820947.8%100 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Celtics69c5,072$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50013063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Hornets42c5,010$2,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,92614244.4%63 W · 79 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Celtics70c5,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50012245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Hornets68c5,000$3,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.314245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceb5…3fbfbacked Hornets31c5,000$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4506445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81db…98dcbacked Celtics69c5,000$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,45030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Hornets52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9948845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Celtics34c4,998$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.28036.3%29 W · 51 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f4b…bb93backed Celtics58c4,926$2,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,857.089354.8%51 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Celtics47c4,857$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30024151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Celtics3c4,839$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.771,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdd…8bd4backed Hornets30c4,655$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,258.52420.8%5 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-51.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.