TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,191 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over45c25,589$11,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,636.9143542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under54c10,281$5,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,683.039,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under53c5,028$2,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,362.9787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under54c4,278$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.884,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under56c2,014$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.053,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c1,487$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.98,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b92…55e0backed Over46c1,452$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under53c1,421$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.696,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over45c1,248$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9951354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under54c1,171$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.633,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e73…401dbacked Under54c982$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Under60c962.04$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.0411159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Over39c955$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.175759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0950954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Under57c808.77$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.778263.4%52 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over45c733.35$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33016147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under62c695.14$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.631,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x504e…1135backed Under54c590$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over44c570$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.827747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under51c530.5$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.3211942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c523.24$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.694,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22527052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Under54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23030641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over46c401$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.462,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9890957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Over58c317.79$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.32433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over32c297.36$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.183,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over22c275.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0417243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under54c257.22$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.363,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under68c244.86$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.142,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under79c240$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.27754.5%42 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over30c230.18$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.051,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0941…5481backed Under54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.221163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+88.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8239552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Under59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4938152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under61c143.47$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8865542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under57c136.54$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.062,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under53c129.79$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f96…123cbacked Over47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x833a…104abacked Over46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over46c109.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7823350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over58c103.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.673,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under54c102$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.921,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c100.07$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.044,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4784150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4622453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9935739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over47c99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.531,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under51c92.91$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.631,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea5d…d375backed Over34c62.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3911444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under55c62.11$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.941,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Under55c61.4$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6323349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over50c61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8edc…3a70backed Under58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.22050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over36c58.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3110028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Under43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1421637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under46c54.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3465872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under53c53.17$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0324334.2%83 W · 160 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under54c51.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8564844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under43c51.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8940243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over56c49.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3845452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e7…a322backed Under49c48.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.746157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Over34c48.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.517844.4%79 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead8…ce1abacked Over50c43.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.036141%25 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5f8…148fbacked Over47c43.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.311233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under55c41.87$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.844,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6659…4b69backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208332.5%27 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb1…cc29backed Over42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.690357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc816…4b74backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.366453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Under54c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4116150.9%82 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under44c35.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9711826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…267abacked Over43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157948.1%38 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over46c31.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3691846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1254854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Under54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.810349.5%51 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf11b…3fe3backed Under57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.96056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89bc…a463backed Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c29.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over41c28.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8965630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Over45c28.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6914448.6%70 W · 74 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c26.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.492,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under55c26.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.93,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over52c21.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121642.1%91 W · 125 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd27…4721backed Under54c20.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3710457.7%60 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under56c20.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.941,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.