TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$259,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,390 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under51c147,363$75,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,207.722,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over49c57,730$28,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,287.8516547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over47c38,502$18,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,051.8143542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Over49c35,400$17,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,3465139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c20,457$10,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,662.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over49c20,408$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116f…180cbacked Over49c16,543$8,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,106250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c15,483$7,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,519.264,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5287…ca51backed Over49c11,173$5,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,475837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over49c9,898$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,85041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c9,000$4,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2901,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23d2…ba4cbacked Over49c8,271$4,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0531145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c7,349$3,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,574.94,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under52c6,615$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,205.0487750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over47c6,300$2,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9611,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over53c3,021$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.4885742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c1,912$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.23,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under52c1,532$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.4965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c1,303$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.376,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Over49c1,095$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.7613063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under48c1,063$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.323,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48018151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Over48c991.76$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.044742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under52c890.95$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.052,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c877.67$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.463,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under52c759.3$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.0622746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c705.04$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3108,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5714…f2a3backed Over48c647.92$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacba…40a1backed Over47c640$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.82941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under52c599.99$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28849345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c585.5$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.192,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under53c577$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.191,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over47c510.96$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.152,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c477.31$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.884,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under53c458$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2654443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under52c435$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.81,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over47c407.06$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3238253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19635744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under53c398.87$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.51,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under52c289.39$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9191148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9325…adafbacked Under54c231.48$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4811754.7%64 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under41c227.89$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.81,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Under53c207.81$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0212552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over48c205.02$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.221,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b06…10a7backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.318558.8%50 W · 35 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3114156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3117353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under53c188.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9126956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Over56c177.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec7b…dc40backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under53c163.88$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.564844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under66c152.85$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.292,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under52c146.13$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6992750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7060346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under51c139.93$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5748852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under53c137.74$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7462450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under52c117.79$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5462844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7942…f92cbacked Under53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.217643.4%33 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e3…c0bbbacked Under54c101.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.853860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4895548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c99.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Over69c94.51$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2119166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Under59c93.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2212747.2%60 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over44c89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1646447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under53c87.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2752552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under71c86.54$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.913,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9255846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Over49c71.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8611343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under40c67.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0424334.2%83 W · 160 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Under52c66.04$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.723349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over49c62.87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.853,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Under52c61.94$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7383158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ba…b202backed Under56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.342360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under52c59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3253945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over51c51.02$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0245445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c94…1f7dbacked Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233070%21 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under53c49.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.522044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fdc…0745backed Under52c48.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.451145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Under52c47.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7612152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2093145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4eb…05b5backed Over47c41.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.685054%27 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under53c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2711942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015041.3%62 W · 88 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d9…aecbbacked Under53c38.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.01666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.744344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.044158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Over47c35.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5514448.6%70 W · 74 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Under52c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3223950.6%121 W · 118 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Under53c33.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.719855.1%54 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa684…ca71backed Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156440.6%26 W · 38 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd25c…fe19backed Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517652.3%92 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.