NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x126ed311a5244ecb8d1289f5639f6bf3af2f6911a67a33e431440dfa2d353ca1

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hornetsof Celtics, Hornets
Resolved: Mar 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,495,296

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,495,296 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics	51c	613,566$312,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312,346.3	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Celtics	51c	513,178$261,721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261,720.98	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets	49c	286,739$140,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146,236.89	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Hornets	49c	200,000$98,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101,999.94	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Hornets	49c	160,000$78,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,600	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hornets	49c	100,000$49,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,000	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hornets	49c	100,000$49,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,000	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Hornets	49c	65,000$31,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,150	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Hornets	49c	50,050$24,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,525.5	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets	50c	50,000$25,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,000	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Hornets	49c	44,459$21,748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,710.71	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Hornets	49c	39,736$19,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,265.44	231	47.6%110 W · 121 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics	51c	35,275$17,987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,987	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets	49c	23,885$11,599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,285.37	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics	50c	20,440$10,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,220	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Hornets	49c	20,408$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,408.16	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Celtics	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Hornets	49c	14,735$7,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,514.69	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Celtics	51c	14,198$7,234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,234.1	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets	49c	11,051$5,415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,636.22	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c21…9b8abacked Hornets	49c	10,204$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,204.08	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Hornets	49c	9,898$4,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,047.96	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Hornets	49c	9,592$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,891.84	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Hornets	49c	8,438$4,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,309.86	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Hornets	50c	8,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,000	97	41.2%40 W · 57 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Celtics	52c	7,998$4,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,119.22	245	49%120 W · 125 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Celtics	51c	6,500$3,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,332.5	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets	48c	6,069$2,921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,147.4	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0cde…c25fbacked Hornets	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+102.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Celtics	51c	5,882$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f1…4c8abacked Hornets	50c	5,600$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,800	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-51%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Hornets	49c	5,388$2,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,747.76	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa368…d116backed Hornets	50c	5,381$2,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,690.52	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Hornets	50c	5,298$2,649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,649	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e2c…2d2abacked Hornets	49c	5,041$2,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,570.82	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+51%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Celtics	51c	5,020$2,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,559.98	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b4d…ae93backed Celtics	51c	5,003$2,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,565	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Celtics	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets	50c	4,500$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,250	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Celtics	50c	4,495$2,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,247.48	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Celtics	52c	4,428$2,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,298.42	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Celtics	50c	4,231$2,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,115.4	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hornets	52c	4,223$2,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,048.26	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets	50c	4,085$2,043 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,042.5	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hornets	48c	3,694$1,773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,920.98	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Hornets	49c	3,400$1,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,734	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Hornets	49c	3,333$1,633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,699.83	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Hornets	49c	3,098$1,518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,579.96	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Celtics	51c	3,087$1,574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,574.37	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Celtics	51c	2,961$1,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,510	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Hornets	50c	2,789$1,394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,394.4	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hornets	49c	2,500$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,275	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b0…0b70backed Hornets	49c	2,398$1,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,222.98	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.18per pick	46cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b2d…a88dbacked Celtics	51c	2,100$1,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,067.5	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	-7.7wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf092…f999backed Celtics	51c	2,097$1,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,069.47	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.20per pick	49cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hornets	49c	2,054$1,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,049.71	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Hornets	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Celtics	52c	2,000$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030	331	46.2%153 W · 178 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets	49c	1,985$973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,012.39	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Celtics	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Celtics	50c	1,933$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$976.03	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc22…5738backed Celtics	52c	1,734$902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$901.68	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.2wins	-0.25per pick	48cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Hornets	49c	1,639$803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$835.78	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Celtics	51c	1,500$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765	122	45.1%55 W · 67 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa041…f9d5backed Celtics	51c	1,401$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.51	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Celtics	51c	1,373$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac7…344dbacked Celtics	51c	1,352$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.52	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8b…a86ebacked Hornets	49c	1,352$662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689.52	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets	50c	1,328$663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$665.08	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4753…1d05backed Celtics	50c	1,286$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffbc…1cf1backed Hornets	48c	1,271$611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.85	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+106%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6496…12abbacked Celtics	52c	1,271$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.92	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf1b…dc3bbacked Hornets	50c	1,262$631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x795a…903abacked Celtics	52c	1,226$638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637.52	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16a0…ab77backed Hornets	48c	1,225$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$637	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.52per pick	49cpaid	+106.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4e…1780backed Hornets	50c	1,180$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$590	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Hornets	50c	1,162$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580.28	119	43.7%52 W · 67 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x574f…c525backed Celtics	50c	1,156$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Celtics	47c	1,100$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512	103	42.7%44 W · 59 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3de5…bbe3backed Hornets	50c	1,100$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf2a…9aa8backed Hornets	49c	1,100$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$561	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9248…0cefbacked Celtics	50c	1,038$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11a4…47b3backed Hornets	50c	1,032$516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Hornets	50c	1,002$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.77	419	54.4%228 W · 191 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Hornets	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	181	51.4%93 W · 88 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Hornets	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	528	44.7%236 W · 292 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Celtics	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	261	49.4%129 W · 132 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Celtics	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Hornets	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Celtics	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	291	49.5%144 W · 147 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Celtics	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e6f…654abacked Celtics	50c	984$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab2…f845backed Celtics	50c	982$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Celtics	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Celtics	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	238	45%107 W · 131 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Celtics	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa452…2b1ebacked Celtics	51c	976$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.76	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f66…e856backed Hornets	50c	960$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7377…ce6dbacked Celtics	50c	960$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Celtics (-6.5)this page
1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Hornets won
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5No won
Derrick White: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Hornets vs. CelticsHornets won
Hornets vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineHornets won
Hornets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5Under won
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Under won
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Under won
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Under won
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Under won
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5No won
Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Kon Knueppel: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Miles Bridges: Points O/U 12.5No won
Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 17.5No won
Sam Hauser: Points O/U 10.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Celtics (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event