CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa42af0b4b640135fcdd34f7f71fa2cf0169f2deab2ffb2fc3e80a91521b220fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Aurora Gaming, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $520,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $591,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $520,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Aurora Gaming | 13c | 31,399$4,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,197.14 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Alliance | 21c | 22,142$4,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,454.83 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 19,853$15,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,676.18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e2…9a09backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 15,550$11,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,836.82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 13,897$10,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,779.21 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Alliance | 18c | 12,588$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,338.62 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…ee57backed Alliance | 32c | 12,122$3,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,204.1 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 9,710$7,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,185.85 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 9,450$6,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,906.89 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Alliance | 3c | 9,083$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,780.7 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed Alliance | 56c | 8,535$4,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,781.62 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Alliance | 20c | 8,379$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,702.84 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 6,445$3,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,612.16 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 6,414$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.79 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Alliance | 24c | 6,352$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,823.12 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Alliance | 33c | 6,087$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,078.75 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Alliance | 28c | 6,082$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,386.2 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance | 24c | 5,475$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,166.16 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed Alliance | 21c | 5,395$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,286.91 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Alliance | 35c | 5,354$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,472.14 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Alliance | 26c | 5,314$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,907.25 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Alliance | 32c | 5,198$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.12 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Alliance | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.99 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 4,707$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.68 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Alliance | 52c | 4,444$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.11 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 24c | 4,174$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.75 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Alliance | 22c | 4,066$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.74 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Alliance | 24c | 3,974$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.55 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Alliance | 25c | 3,500$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.5 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alliance | 21c | 3,438$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.05 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…cec7backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 3,032$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…cc85backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 2,999$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f1…3cdfbacked Alliance | 31c | 2,761$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Alliance | 26c | 2,700$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.95 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Alliance | 15c | 2,590$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.59 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…78b1backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 2,560$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 75cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Alliance | 25c | 2,559$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.95 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f53…c2b7backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Aurora Gaming | 2c | 2,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…310bbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 2,500$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 2,484$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.84 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Alliance | 26c | 2,264$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.13 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Alliance | 22c | 2,177$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.26 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 2,127$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.95 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 2,122$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.82 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Alliance | 20c | 2,055$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.98 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 2,012$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.44 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653a…4d06backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 1,997$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a8…d529backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 1,992$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 1,964$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.45 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Alliance | 35c | 1,926$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.83 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 1,900$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.2 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Alliance | 21c | 1,876$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.93 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed Alliance | 33c | 1,843$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.28 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed2…d00bbacked Alliance | 30c | 1,799$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.7 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,774$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.47 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Alliance | 14c | 1,750$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.41 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Alliance | 39c | 1,710$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed Alliance | 35c | 1,645$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.1 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Alliance | 19c | 1,642$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.16 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…8f01backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 1,625$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Alliance | 4c | 1,617$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.45 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Aurora Gaming | 2c | 1,600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Alliance | 12c | 1,487$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.81 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,388$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.83 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 1,357$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.5 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 1,341$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Alliance | 21c | 1,258$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.22 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…444ebacked Alliance | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…3e27backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 1,235$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Alliance | 32c | 1,232$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.26 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Alliance | 20c | 1,225$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.37 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 1,213$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.88 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 1,198$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.06 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8c…bcd4backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 1,186$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…07a6backed Alliance | 28c | 1,176$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.26 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Alliance | 19c | 1,154$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.17 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…f0adbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,098$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…70cdbacked Alliance | 13c | 1,077$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.24 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 1,067$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.15 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Alliance | 25c | 1,059$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.27 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 1,059$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.32 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…040dbacked Alliance | 39c | 1,053$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.61 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Alliance | 19c | 1,052$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.1 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Alliance | 22c | 1,027$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.95 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Alliance | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Alliance | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Alliance | 22c | 999.74$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.8 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Alliance | 33c | 972.06$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.66 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Alliance | 36c | 962.22$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.01 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Alliance | 23c | 959.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.7 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 953.25$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.2 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 940.84$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.36 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…791abacked Alliance | 15c | 932.69$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.22 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7332…e031backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 909.76$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Alliance | 27c | 906.87$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.21 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 875.44$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.35 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Alliance | 51c | 868.92$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.46 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)Alliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.