CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1ede865f4070d38c226787b5935d2d94e1dd919e0b78fc50a5a693737c999cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Aurora Gaming, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked Alliance | 31c | 4,018$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.43 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.99 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 3,763$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.66 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 16c | 3,606$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.84 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Alliance | 23c | 3,097$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Alliance | 27c | 2,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.73 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 2,157$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.49 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Alliance | 18c | 2,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.98 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Alliance | 39c | 1,852$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.97 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Alliance | 23c | 1,809$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.05 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance | 31c | 1,672$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.71 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alliance | 32c | 1,600$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.71 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alliance | 25c | 1,512$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.33 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…227abacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 1,263$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.52 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Alliance | 14c | 1,234$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.99 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Alliance | 31c | 1,110$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.33 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 1,099$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.44 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,082$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.41 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Alliance | 66c | 1,080$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.08 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Alliance | 20c | 953.14$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.85 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Alliance | 20c | 916.76$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.65 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 869.39$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.61 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 774.95$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.38 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed Alliance | 30c | 691.89$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.62 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 684.48$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.38 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 679.73$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.44 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 653.38$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.4 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Alliance | 23c | 651.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.94 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Alliance | 23c | 623.31$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.97 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alliance | 46c | 604.28$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.15 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Alliance | 26c | 576.01$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.58 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Alliance | 53c | 541.33$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.15 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Alliance | 33c | 514.68$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.76 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 504.52$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 501.28$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.08 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Alliance | 18c | 501.21$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.07 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Alliance | 62c | 495.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.75 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 484.63$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.2 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Alliance | 27c | 478.1$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.01 | 241 | 34.4%83 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…79d3backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 463.04$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Alliance | 50c | 430.68$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.34 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 420.29$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.2 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Alliance | 13c | 400$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Alliance | 13c | 380.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.83 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Alliance | 27c | 349.04$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.39 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Alliance | 60c | 292.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 281.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Alliance | 8c | 278.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.99 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Alliance | 45c | 261.91$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.98 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 254.86$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.29 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Alliance | 23c | 244.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Alliance | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Alliance | 47c | 197.06$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alliance | 46c | 182.57$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…589abacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 159.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…c29ebacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 153.62$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Alliance | 27c | 152.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…b266backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 138.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked Alliance | 30c | 137.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 126.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 384 | 56.3%216 W · 168 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 123.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 120.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…03e7backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 117.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…7c83backed Alliance | 24c | 113.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 110.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Alliance | 20c | 106$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Alliance | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Alliance | 31c | 95.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Alliance | 21c | 86.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Aurora Gaming | 22c | 78.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed Alliance | 25c | 77.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Alliance | 23c | 73.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alliance | 16c | 71.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Alliance | 20c | 69.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Alliance | 27c | 68.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Alliance | 28c | 67.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 66.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90a…dbddbacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…0bd0backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b1…b066backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alliance | 17c | 58.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Alliance | 27c | 53.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 50.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 262 | 49.2%129 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x217c…a1f1backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Alliance | 45c | 43.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…7a60backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 40.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Alliance | 29c | 38.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 37.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 34.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e9…4a1bbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 30.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 74cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Alliance | 48c | 30.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff5…46a2backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)Alliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.