Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4340aec56578dd75c58c7d59f9e962a1730f6c3ad5403837024dd0282af6f4ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,563 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 22c | 2,070$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.1 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,790$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.9 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed PARIVISION | 38c | 1,779$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.15 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 1,580$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.2 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Tundra Esports | 71c | 1,520$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.77 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed PARIVISION | 34c | 1,282$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.18 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 28c | 1,185$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.73 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 1,044$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.11 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed PARIVISION | 24c | 972.97$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.44 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…0f71backed PARIVISION | 32c | 843.8$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed PARIVISION | 24c | 820.68$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.54 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 37c | 819.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 766.16$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.22 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 721.62$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.92 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed PARIVISION | 33c | 715.16$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.4 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…5213backed PARIVISION | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…6851backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 599.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 591.75$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.33 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed PARIVISION | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da8…6511backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 442.62$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 442$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1299backed PARIVISION | 25c | 399.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked PARIVISION | 46c | 382.97$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.51 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 44c | 380.05$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.88 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…d658backed PARIVISION | 20c | 367.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 350$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.1 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…d1e5backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 306.64$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 300.12$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked PARIVISION | 4c | 299.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked PARIVISION | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION | 41c | 248.35$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed PARIVISION | 43c | 245.24$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 239.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 232.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 213$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 210.45$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 209.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…07fdbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 200.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed PARIVISION | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…f092backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 199.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed PARIVISION | 32c | 182.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 19c | 180$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed PARIVISION | 25c | 174.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…2811backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9635…ae57backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b70…ab35backed PARIVISION | 40c | 161$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…3411backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 158.8$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…2d9dbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 149.85$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 147.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 144$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 135.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 123.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…def8backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 117.48$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 115.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 111.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 108$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 215 | 51.6%111 W · 104 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 104.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed PARIVISION | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked PARIVISION | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…d870backed PARIVISION | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked PARIVISION | 41c | 99.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed PARIVISION | 21c | 98.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked PARIVISION | 30c | 91.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed PARIVISION | 20c | 90.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed PARIVISION | 44c | 89.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 83.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 80.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 80.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 78.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed PARIVISION | 34c | 67.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…a9f2backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 64.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked PARIVISION | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…c849backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 46.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…c922backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 44.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -7.4wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 43.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked PARIVISION | 34c | 42.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed PARIVISION | 35c | 42.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 41.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaf…61a5backed PARIVISION | 39c | 41.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked PARIVISION | 36c | 33.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 32.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…76b9backed PARIVISION | 56c | 31.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b1…315abacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 29.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 26.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked PARIVISION | 41c | 25.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 25.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.