Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x007832598c5c297901117f427e4b06cb4c7905ecb8493128290645ba13126d69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,262 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 32,756$20,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,547.61 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 38c | 20,207$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked PARIVISION | 27c | 8,752$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.94 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 6,935$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.71 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 4,665$3,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.25 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION | 37c | 4,035$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.23 | 697 | 44.6%311 W · 386 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 4,020$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.41 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed PARIVISION | 0c | 3,830$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 3,226$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.54 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed PARIVISION | 38c | 2,650$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 24c | 2,499$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.6 | 2,834 | 43.6%1,236 W · 1,598 L | -39.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed PARIVISION | 39c | 2,489$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.01 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 32c | 2,048$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.67 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked PARIVISION | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,967$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.21 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION | 36c | 1,716$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.55 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed PARIVISION | 35c | 1,337$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.21 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed PARIVISION | 40c | 1,166$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed PARIVISION | 26c | 1,051$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.66 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 1,047$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.54 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked PARIVISION | 35c | 1,045$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed PARIVISION | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed PARIVISION | 37c | 999.54$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.83 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked PARIVISION | 17c | 957.96$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed PARIVISION | 39c | 946.96$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.01 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION | 9c | 944.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 921 | 56.5%520 W · 401 L | +78.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed PARIVISION | 25c | 937.62$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.59 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked PARIVISION | 4c | 860.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed PARIVISION | 38c | 822.51$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.41 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed PARIVISION | 37c | 699.79$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.92 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed PARIVISION | 36c | 695.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.32 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked PARIVISION | 25c | 690.11$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 690.07$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.47 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed PARIVISION | 46c | 677.69$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.38 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 646.3$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.31 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed PARIVISION | 34c | 643.33$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.46 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 639.34$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.79 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed PARIVISION | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked PARIVISION | 28c | 598.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.66 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 36c | 596.72$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.98 | 1,823 | 45.1%822 W · 1,001 L | +34.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed PARIVISION | 24c | 549.78$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.82 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a9…3f60backed PARIVISION | 43c | 532.65$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.04 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 529.8$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.34 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed PARIVISION | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed PARIVISION | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed PARIVISION | 40c | 498.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed PARIVISION | 11c | 483.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed PARIVISION | 28c | 480$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed PARIVISION | 21c | 449.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed PARIVISION | 20c | 449.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed PARIVISION | 12c | 428.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…eabcbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed PARIVISION | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 394.64$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.66 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 387.6$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.33 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked PARIVISION | 36c | 385.68$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed PARIVISION | 16c | 359.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f3c8backed PARIVISION | 34c | 352.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 331.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 328.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.83 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 25c | 315.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 307.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed PARIVISION | 18c | 306.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked PARIVISION | 9c | 306.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION | 40c | 293$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.51 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed PARIVISION | 17c | 291.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked PARIVISION | 35c | 287.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…3ff4backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 286.77$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 279.76$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked PARIVISION | 29c | 274.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked PARIVISION | 14c | 270$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 269.49$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked PARIVISION | 39c | 259.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PARIVISION | 9c | 258.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 258.16$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 251.75$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 249$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 246.54$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 245.29$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.85 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed PARIVISION | 36c | 237$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed PARIVISION | 43c | 234.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 209.9$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed PARIVISION | 15c | 203.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 202$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 501 | 32.3%162 W · 339 L | -46.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…5213backed PARIVISION | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed PARIVISION | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 173 | 23.1%40 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed PARIVISION | 41c | 190.26$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PARIVISION | 39c | 189.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed PARIVISION | 32c | 187.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 182.16$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…702dbacked PARIVISION | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed PARIVISION | 34c | 159.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 158.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 150.42$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group ATundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.