Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76de2207a86864a15a97cd8fc8e8905f4d8520f8e0fb8abf9393a34b6d19440f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Natus Vincere, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $714,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $888,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $714,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Team Liquid | 70c | 169,831$118,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,275.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 96,796$32,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,907.76 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 50,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.99 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 14,286$9,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,594.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 13,670$4,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,374.27 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 8,966$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048.5 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 8,619$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.27 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Team Liquid | 65c | 7,672$4,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 6,736$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.22 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 6,650$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.24 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf82…91ccbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 6,213$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.48 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…5b56backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 5,177$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.41 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 5,026$3,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.81 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 4,392$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.31 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 4,316$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.37 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 3,406$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.57 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 3,290$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.26 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 3,195$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.4 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 2,983$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.47 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…e454backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 2,861$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.16 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 2,735$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.69 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 2,557$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.58 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Team Liquid | 67c | 2,486$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.31 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 2,446$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.61 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 2,443$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.19 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 2,348$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.28 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Team Liquid | 68c | 2,183$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.18 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed Team Liquid | 69c | 2,116$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.65 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 2,037$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.49 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,000$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.99 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,858$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.64 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Team Liquid | 76c | 1,784$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.25 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,701$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.23 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,586$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.66 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 1,550$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.08 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…db30backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.78 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,454$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.9 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,439$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.2 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Liquid | 50c | 1,436$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.8 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…90dfbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 1,428$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,421$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.77 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 46cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,373$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.31 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,260$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.34 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,259$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.66 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…9f48backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,160$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,142$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.49 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 1,121$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.98 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,117$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.69 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,106$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 1,075$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.57 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,010$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.14 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid | 66c | 999.93$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.98 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeafe…c310backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 983.66$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.19 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 946.21$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.35 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Team Liquid | 68c | 942.74$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.68 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Team Liquid | 68c | 938.34$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.27 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 883.57$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Team Liquid | 66c | 877.93$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 874.52$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.26 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04b…f09bbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 831.28$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed Team Liquid | 68c | 827.91$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 827.32$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.5 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 825.87$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 808.46$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.42 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +10.9wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 765.53$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.36 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Liquid | 71c | 728.74$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.78 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 716.5$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.28 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Team Liquid | 65c | 709.16$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.21 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Liquid | 65c | 700$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.77 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Team Liquid | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 668.54$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.11 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 659.91$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.4 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 658.96$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.3 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 658.65$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.13 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 657.59$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Liquid | 58c | 655.91$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.52 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 67c | 643.15$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.04 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa903…bcd2backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 625.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.23 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 613.69$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Team Liquid | 67c | 612.81$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.39 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 610.88$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.06 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Team Liquid | 58c | 596.29$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.94 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 594.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.09 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 584.62$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.94 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 582.96$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.29 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 580.82$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Team Liquid | 65c | 561.04$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.36 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 554.86$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Team Liquid | 68c | 550.23$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.07 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…4a95backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 549.97$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 545.11$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.63 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 520.88$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphathis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid - Map 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.