TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,070 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere58c2,436$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.9394361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere70c1,886$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.4852155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere58c1,606$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.3653159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Team Liquid37c1,424$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.5430147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d3…e454backed Natus Vincere68c1,403$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.775263.5%33 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed Team Liquid32c1,174$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.065156.9%29 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid26c1,127$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.1168949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Natus Vincere42c1,009$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.651172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+83.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55093148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Team Liquid1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250%0 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Liquid59c987.54$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.6533153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Liquid49c932.05$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.8262156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked Team Liquid65c911.98$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.783537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere60c893.89$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.2268458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4449…5095backed Team Liquid25c879.64$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.152227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-56.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa04b…f09bbacked Natus Vincere43c835.89$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid56c818.46$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.1732047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere41c776.99$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.4255152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ff5…4c8ebacked Team Liquid13c729.8$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Team Liquid56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28031153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…563ebacked Team Liquid25c499.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.922835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere61c470.19$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.4578562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid25c464.83$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0365559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Natus Vincere35c431.54$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.57655.3%42 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Team Liquid28c418.86$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.389346.2%43 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Team Liquid9c380.34$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3260022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Team Liquid40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509041.1%37 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf64f…9f48backed Team Liquid5c369.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.481060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Team Liquid30c361.43$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7417448.3%84 W · 90 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff5e…9c6ebacked Team Liquid27c355.32$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.942763%17 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid23c346.36$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.291,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Team Liquid58c334.25$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8716952.1%88 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Natus Vincere70c329.99$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9914645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked Team Liquid33c295.42$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7910333%34 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid43c281.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0870251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Natus Vincere54c259.72$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4710863%68 W · 40 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Team Liquid58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14536648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Team Liquid18c244$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.926732.8%22 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed Team Liquid59c234.1$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1225555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeafe…c310backed Natus Vincere44c219.85$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.215228.8%15 W · 37 L-8.4wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xce42…5cddbacked Team Liquid47c205.28$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.485856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Team Liquid59c203.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.317847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Team Liquid23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469133%30 W · 61 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Liquid19c196$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.821,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Team Liquid28c192.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1321048.1%101 W · 109 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda00…5c4dbacked Team Liquid60c163.15$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.892152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Team Liquid25c159$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0626730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Liquid22c144.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.221,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed Team Liquid35c139.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.393450%17 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Liquid23c136.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5799846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8325336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Team Liquid56c130$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.84742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid30c127.73$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3219945.2%90 W · 109 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Team Liquid50c115.36$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.142948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Team Liquid9c114.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4435331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Liquid33c114.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3429151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Team Liquid27c106$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.626939.1%27 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Team Liquid54c105.57$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7620248%97 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Team Liquid21c103.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3857517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Team Liquid26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Team Liquid37c82.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.319439.2%76 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Team Liquid23c80.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3815512.3%19 W · 136 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid28c75.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.821,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db8…975ebacked Team Liquid20c72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.32944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Team Liquid35c70$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2763652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Natus Vincere47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.18757.5%50 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x11ea…594fbacked Natus Vincere78c69.76$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.353043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Natus Vincere72c66.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2232261.5%198 W · 124 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd31a…28f5backed Team Liquid34c56.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2110052%52 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Team Liquid25c55.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7526436%95 W · 169 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Team Liquid59c53.14$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4417555.4%97 W · 78 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Team Liquid27c53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3112633.3%42 W · 84 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Natus Vincere66c51.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.382080%16 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Team Liquid26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312243.4%53 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d1…57ddbacked Team Liquid30c47.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.372958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Team Liquid28c39.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.081752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Natus Vincere75c36.16$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.11,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Team Liquid32c34.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0521951.6%113 W · 106 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Natus Vincere42c25.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.664548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b5…2ee9backed Natus Vincere72c23.06$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.351346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.