Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c5fe1906b545e00150f5507c80ad6c179a0277b00664b5f66af9c0847e3f500
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Team Heretics, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2606…ba10backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 19,999$6,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,449.61 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Team Heretics | 71c | 7,383$5,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,207.33 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Heretics | 76c | 5,117$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,864.83 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 4,132$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.3 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 4,028$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.1 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Team Heretics | 69c | 4,013$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.56 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Team Heretics | 70c | 3,527$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.78 | 548 | 51.1%280 W · 268 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.99 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 2,958$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.79 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Heretics | 67c | 2,888$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.96 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 2,814$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 2,472$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.94 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Heretics | 67c | 2,366$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.66 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…d7aabacked Team Heretics | 68c | 2,328$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,314$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.29 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Team Heretics | 67c | 2,239$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Team Heretics | 74c | 2,204$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.96 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,985$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.9 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Heretics | 63c | 1,820$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.14 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,733$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.93 | 893 | 44.3%396 W · 497 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Team Heretics | 65c | 1,540$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,042$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.65 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 1,001$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.86 | 391 | 42.5%166 W · 225 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Team Heretics | 60c | 842.46$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.6 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 818.07$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.53 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 812.49$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.39 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 806.31$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.92 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Heretics | 80c | 799.99$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.99 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Team Heretics | 64c | 795.51$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Team Heretics | 13c | 767.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…3624backed Team Heretics | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Team Heretics | 67c | 725.27$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.93 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…9daebacked Team Heretics | 70c | 713.16$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 710.82$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.66 | 534 | 55.2%295 W · 239 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed Team Heretics | 66c | 651.84$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.21 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 648$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.12 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 639.31$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.31 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 627.35$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.44 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 610$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Team Heretics | 68c | 594.82$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.48 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 571$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.15 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 561.68$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.22 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team Heretics | 66c | 534.37$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.34 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…a447backed Team Heretics | 5c | 528.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 524.43$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.43 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…4568backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Heretics | 46c | 494.61$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.45 | 565 | 57.7%326 W · 239 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…1633backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 491.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.64 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 479.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.79 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Team Heretics | 67c | 477.61$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Team Heretics | 65c | 463.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…354ebacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 441.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.99 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Team Heretics | 65c | 386.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 381.61$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.87 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Team Heretics | 66c | 375$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.25 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Heretics | 67c | 362$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 355.74$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.82 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 340$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 338.77$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.63 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 333$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.77 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Heretics | 68c | 329.41$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Heretics | 76c | 323.31$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.26 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 315.92$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 310.77$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Team Heretics | 67c | 305.49$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.68 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…e9b5backed Team Heretics | 69c | 304.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 301.42$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.25 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Heretics | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Team Heretics | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 286.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.64 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 286$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 666 | 38%253 W · 413 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team Heretics | 69c | 285$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.71 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 280.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.29 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 265.51$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.7 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 251$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.01 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 250$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 224$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.32 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c61…c5fdbacked Team Heretics | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Team Heretics | 67c | 222.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 351 | 57.3%201 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…615bbacked Team Heretics | 64c | 220.78$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c34…a023backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 210$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Heretics | 63c | 209.75$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.04 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 196.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.31 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…18bfbacked Natus Vincere | 10c | 196.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +390.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 185$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d8…9ccdbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 184$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 180$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Team Heretics | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 174.19$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Team Heretics | 65c | 168.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 165.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93be…af87backed Team Heretics | 64c | 159.39$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.01 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…1e7abacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 158.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Team Heretics | 64c | 156.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Heretics | 71c | 156.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.19 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 153.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.61 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Team Heretics | 75c | 152.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…a999backed Team Heretics | 66c | 151.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphathis page
- Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerTeam Heretics won
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.