TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x891e…1e7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Valorant, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT3470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Valorant: All Gamers vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$47.84
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.93
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$33.39
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.09
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.85
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.57
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$21.46
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs T1 - Map 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.31
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$8.89
Valorant: JD Gaming vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$15.08
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$3.14
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$45.99
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+155.7%+$27.24
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$13.18
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.53
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$38.25
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$21.69
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$62.35
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.