Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe6948c05fd1d0e83b0a2b929be3855037005d5d845782643f8a31466dc1df76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dragon Ranger Gamingof Trace Esports, Dragon Ranger Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Trace Esports | 40c | 18,888$7,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,588.53 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 60c | 15,262$9,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,067.99 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 61c | 3,639$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.73 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Trace Esports | 36c | 1,020$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.85 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Trace Esports | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 58c | 303.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.39 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…74f7backed Trace Esports | 38c | 189$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Trace Esports | 41c | 186.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 51c | 177.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 61c | 163.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 51c | 156.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…993cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 70c | 130.31$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Trace Esports | 49c | 124$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 61c | 112.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 61c | 111$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Trace Esports | 59c | 91.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Trace Esports | 24c | 69.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 70c | 69.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Trace Esports | 42c | 62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Trace Esports | 20c | 61.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…04cebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 53c | 56.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Trace Esports | 42c | 51.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trace Esports | 39c | 39.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Trace Esports | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Trace Esports | 42c | 33.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…1e7abacked Trace Esports | 43c | 32.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 54c | 23.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China PlayoffsDragon Ranger Gaming won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 WinnerDragon Ranger Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.