Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b39c23860b534f56bee870a17c8171833bd533a004fd352373fdf3d4a307f81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dragon Ranger Gamingof Trace Esports, Dragon Ranger Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe96f…ff4bbacked Trace Esports | 45c | 21,444$9,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,655.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 64c | 19,485$12,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,023.22 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 58c | 10,492$6,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368.27 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Trace Esports | 43c | 1,831$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.68 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Trace Esports | 24c | 1,654$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.25 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Trace Esports | 13c | 1,201$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.13 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trace Esports | 16c | 845.36$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.94 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Trace Esports | 41c | 586.6$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.51 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Trace Esports | 41c | 586.6$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.51 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 44c | 461$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.16 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Trace Esports | 41c | 409.87$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.38 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 78c | 385.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Trace Esports | 36c | 329.3$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Trace Esports | 41c | 329.27$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Trace Esports | 34c | 317.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.23 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Trace Esports | 40c | 269.58$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.83 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Trace Esports | 19c | 251.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…74f7backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 72c | 139$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 69c | 124.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 66c | 114.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 60c | 113.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Trace Esports | 35c | 82.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 67c | 81.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 43c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 54c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Trace Esports | 41c | 58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Trace Esports | 26c | 56.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Trace Esports | 25c | 48.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 59c | 23.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China PlayoffsDragon Ranger Gaming won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 WinnerDragon Ranger Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.