Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec6005c9a1d7ab31180bc2c2f717b6ee1f748d476053bebebf5a899e7a28c627
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dragon Ranger Gamingof Trace Esports, Dragon Ranger Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8061…a32bbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 78c | 5,281$4,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.87 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Trace Esports | 31c | 904.86$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.16 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Trace Esports | 6c | 720.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trace Esports | 26c | 585.96$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.76 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Trace Esports | 52c | 550.28$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.12 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 47c | 497.25$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.54 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Trace Esports | 52c | 482.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.55 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcde5…32b5backed Trace Esports | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Trace Esports | 3c | 431$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Trace Esports | 32c | 402.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 50c | 350.71$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Trace Esports | 38c | 342.66$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.14 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 46c | 269.64$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Trace Esports | 27c | 259.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Trace Esports | 17c | 241.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…1e7abacked Trace Esports | 24c | 151.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 52c | 135.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 75c | 108.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Trace Esports | 37c | 104$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Trace Esports | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Trace Esports | 36c | 96.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Trace Esports | 25c | 95.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 53c | 90.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Trace Esports | 47c | 86.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Trace Esports | 45c | 82.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Trace Esports | 44c | 58.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…f386backed Trace Esports | 28c | 55.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 75c | 55.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Trace Esports | 37c | 53.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 56c | 52.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 65c | 47.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Trace Esports | 44c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…a5e9backed Trace Esports | 42c | 46.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked Trace Esports | 42c | 45.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Trace Esports | 31c | 40.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Trace Esports | 31c | 36.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Trace Esports | 49c | 31.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…60cabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 56c | 30.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…5facbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…a0c8backed Trace Esports | 52c | 27.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec2…3fe2backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 80c | 26.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: DRG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)Trace Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group OmegaDragon Ranger Gaming won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 WinnerTrace Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.