Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8976cb1547d7edbcaf9ef66bab570eda91a34f29e71031ec8037f557aa366d55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trace Esportsof Trace Esports, Dragon Ranger Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 1c | 1,227$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 62c | 789.69$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.56 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Trace Esports | 47c | 660.05$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.23 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Trace Esports | 38c | 585.4$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.1 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Trace Esports | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 47c | 221.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…a32bbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 15c | 221.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 38c | 207.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Trace Esports | 55c | 178.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 69c | 141.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe865…0b11backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 38c | 125.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 73c | 124.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 28c | 101.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 61c | 99.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 50c | 97.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Trace Esports | 50c | 89.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 40c | 34.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…a0c8backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 69c | 28.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Trace Esports | 38c | 26.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…6fb4backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: DRG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)Trace Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group OmegaDragon Ranger Gaming won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 WinnerDragon Ranger Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.