Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8393100160719b069c45925bf183143c523c377a72a35874560b5ede596ef648
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolves Esportsof Dragon Ranger Gaming, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69db…283abacked Wolves Esports | 35c | 2,354$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.52 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 59c | 698.08$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.26 | 604 | 23%139 W · 465 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 44c | 648.02$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.89 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 68c | 519.5$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.2 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 65c | 253.8$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 59c | 241.9$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.72 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 31c | 206.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 537 | 42.1%226 W · 311 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wolves Esports | 35c | 158.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 893 | 44.3%396 W · 497 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…bcf1backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 65c | 142.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…da18backed Wolves Esports | 40c | 69.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 58c | 65.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 268 | 58.6%157 W · 111 L | +18.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x856b…5f76backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 64c | 56.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…a8f4backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 63c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…1e7abacked Wolves Esports | 77c | 39.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a14…49d5backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 58c | 38.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked Wolves Esports | 40c | 36.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…2c71backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 55c | 35.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 61c | 34.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…7696backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 67c | 29.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…8175backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 55c | 26.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 59c | 22.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 73c | 20.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 72c | 18.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 72c | 15.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group OmegaDragon Ranger Gaming won
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 WinnerDragon Ranger Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.