Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad644e54896be7d7d2add5421c637d7a46cb95a4afdf95af59352569b462b336
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolves Esportsof XLG Gaming, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0652…6b20backed XLG Gaming | 0c | 12,469$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…a32bbacked XLG Gaming | 58c | 3,892$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.94 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…ff4bbacked Wolves Esports | 49c | 3,241$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Wolves Esports | 37c | 1,491$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.45 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked XLG Gaming | 47c | 1,294$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.66 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed XLG Gaming | 64c | 1,014$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.17 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Wolves Esports | 48c | 991.18$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.3 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Wolves Esports | 45c | 656.26$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.94 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed XLG Gaming | 69c | 613.68$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.44 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Wolves Esports | 36c | 600$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Wolves Esports | 27c | 524.83$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.21 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Wolves Esports | 36c | 428.06$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.71 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Wolves Esports | 37c | 349.25$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.85 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Wolves Esports | 31c | 319.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.26 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed XLG Gaming | 55c | 298.43$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.15 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Wolves Esports | 61c | 287.12$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.98 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked XLG Gaming | 69c | 284.02$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.33 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9809…026dbacked XLG Gaming | 73c | 265.81$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Wolves Esports | 31c | 226.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0e…270abacked XLG Gaming | 77c | 202.17$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.67 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed XLG Gaming | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked XLG Gaming | 11c | 192.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked XLG Gaming | 34c | 154.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wolves Esports | 29c | 95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked XLG Gaming | 19c | 86.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f841backed Wolves Esports | 31c | 81.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…1e7abacked XLG Gaming | 40c | 77.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed XLG Gaming | 76c | 64.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Wolves Esports | 35c | 59.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed XLG Gaming | 32c | 59.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed XLG Gaming | 77c | 59.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked XLG Gaming | 36c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c3…1f20backed XLG Gaming | 76c | 58.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked Wolves Esports | 41c | 58.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked XLG Gaming | 23c | 57.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked XLG Gaming | 49c | 54.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Wolves Esports | 23c | 49.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed XLG Gaming | 64c | 49.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed XLG Gaming | 69c | 47.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked XLG Gaming | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed XLG Gaming | 71c | 40.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…58c4backed XLG Gaming | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7b93backed XLG Gaming | 74c | 30.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…7696backed Wolves Esports | 49c | 24.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…2918backed XLG Gaming | 69c | 21.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group OmegaXLG Gaming won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 WinnerXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.