Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ede3cb25ee4bfc969dcfabb78dbc2c3f57c50717af4432e14ead505965afe60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- XLG Gamingof XLG Gaming, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked XLG Gaming | 72c | 2,965$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.74 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed XLG Gaming | 72c | 1,986$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.13 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Wolves Esports | 28c | 1,879$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.24 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Wolves Esports | 27c | 999.82$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.95 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked XLG Gaming | 70c | 853.75$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.47 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad6…6909backed Wolves Esports | 60c | 816.91$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wolves Esports | 59c | 710.71$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.13 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wolves Esports | 23c | 700$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Wolves Esports | 21c | 627.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Wolves Esports | 28c | 620.96$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.87 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Wolves Esports | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked XLG Gaming | 64c | 558.15$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.93 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wolves Esports | 28c | 533.09$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.93 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed XLG Gaming | 25c | 291.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.7 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Wolves Esports | 33c | 194.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed XLG Gaming | 72c | 179$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed XLG Gaming | 70c | 140.2$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed XLG Gaming | 74c | 136.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed XLG Gaming | 49c | 100.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Wolves Esports | 27c | 98.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked XLG Gaming | 35c | 87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Wolves Esports | 26c | 85.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed XLG Gaming | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…6fb4backed XLG Gaming | 67c | 72.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed XLG Gaming | 34c | 65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Wolves Esports | 25c | 61.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed XLG Gaming | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed XLG Gaming | 34c | 55.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed XLG Gaming | 75c | 55.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed XLG Gaming | 34c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked XLG Gaming | 37c | 51.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed XLG Gaming | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed XLG Gaming | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed XLG Gaming | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Wolves Esports | 28c | 37.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dce…1db3backed Wolves Esports | 34c | 34.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Wolves Esports | 33c | 33.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…25bdbacked Wolves Esports | 51c | 32.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed XLG Gaming | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Wolves Esports | 42c | 28.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f0…4740backed XLG Gaming | 73c | 25.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed XLG Gaming | 75c | 20.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…1e7abacked XLG Gaming | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed XLG Gaming | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae15…4998backed XLG Gaming | 68c | 19.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…be6bbacked XLG Gaming | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group OmegaXLG Gaming won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 WinnerWolves Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.