Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1231b44f66c8bc42b2b49288dfdb4e925945098435a37a841e7d7a3d7965c8ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEC Esportsof TEC Esports, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69db…283abacked Bilibili Gaming | 54c | 949.99$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.99 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed TEC Esports | 46c | 785.93$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.4 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Bilibili Gaming | 54c | 281.65$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d5…5cacbacked Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 154.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed TEC Esports | 26c | 150.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.18 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 12c | 135.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed TEC Esports | 56c | 130.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TEC Esports | 59c | 125.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TEC Esports | 46c | 120.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 116.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…ee42backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 107.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Bilibili Gaming | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Bilibili Gaming | 35c | 98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed TEC Esports | 74c | 89.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TEC Esports | 73c | 76.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed TEC Esports | 40c | 72.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5a…0ce5backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 70.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TEC Esports | 51c | 66.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed TEC Esports | 17c | 59.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed TEC Esports | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 189 | 52.4%99 W · 90 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed TEC Esports | 50c | 46.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…1e7abacked Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 43.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed TEC Esports | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TEC Esports | 41c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…c59fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed TEC Esports | 63c | 20.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)TEC Esports won
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group AlphaTEC Esports won
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 WinnerTEC Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.