Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cd658563d6dca11282177ca9faa69e37accad3937e0d055148a6e90f0be8bf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEC Esportsof Bilibili Gaming, TEC Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked TEC Esports | 48c | 7,224$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,756.52 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 51c | 4,198$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…4568backed TEC Esports | 49c | 3,473$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.41 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 3,097$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.48 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed TEC Esports | 47c | 1,468$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.08 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Bilibili Gaming | 51c | 1,079$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.45 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed TEC Esports | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.39 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 898.6$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.27 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 806.87$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.64 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 754.62$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.4 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 696.09$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.96 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 349.93$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.96 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Bilibili Gaming | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed TEC Esports | 50c | 246.4$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 216.65$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.66 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked TEC Esports | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed Bilibili Gaming | 51c | 200.1$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 167.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 121.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 111.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 108.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed TEC Esports | 61c | 96.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked TEC Esports | 52c | 92.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked TEC Esports | 44c | 89.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 78.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -52%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed TEC Esports | 79c | 73.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…5886backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…a8f4backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed TEC Esports | 49c | 29.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 23.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group AlphaTEC Esports won
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 WinnerTEC Esports won
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 WinnerTEC Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.