TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TEC Esportsof TEC Esports, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,935
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,935 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked TEC Esports34c12,402$4,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,227.328955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed TEC Esports32c8,764$2,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,949.1954751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd1…b201backed TEC Esports55c5,879$3,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,648.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked TEC Esports20c5,406$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,335.426738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Bilibili Gaming36c3,890$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.535666.1%37 W · 19 L+11.1wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+97.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x53fe…0485backed Bilibili Gaming0c3,759$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.24425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-63.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Bilibili Gaming52c3,466$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.6210946.8%51 W · 58 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed TEC Esports66c2,955$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.22540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked TEC Esports49c2,828$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.9988844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Bilibili Gaming60c2,774$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.991546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed TEC Esports66c2,523$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.282356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Bilibili Gaming80c2,470$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97611458.8%67 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Bilibili Gaming27c2,461$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.465836.2%21 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed TEC Esports19c2,270$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.4641734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Bilibili Gaming54c2,104$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.9523644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Bilibili Gaming56c1,966$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.5217537.7%66 W · 109 L-14.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked TEC Esports61c1,934$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.738746%40 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Bilibili Gaming60c1,497$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.7137545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bilibili Gaming78c1,494$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.9123146.8%108 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Bilibili Gaming79c1,466$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed TEC Esports21c1,429$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.831838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked TEC Esports19c1,340$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.0529733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed TEC Esports52c1,313$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.3960022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Bilibili Gaming61c1,303$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.7121048.1%101 W · 109 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Bilibili Gaming1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15701.4%1 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe207…56c7backed TEC Esports60c1,167$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.311154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed TEC Esports45c1,161$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.1932141.7%134 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Bilibili Gaming48c1,117$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.3436138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd500…4568backed TEC Esports20c1,117$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.361266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+71.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked TEC Esports48c1,032$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.874231%13 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Bilibili Gaming49c1,009$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.821838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Bilibili Gaming80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Bilibili Gaming63c945.45$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.5834857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed TEC Esports46c934.64$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.9770251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a5…08c5backed Bilibili Gaming43c913.68$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.381020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-50.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Bilibili Gaming34c878.77$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.5814852.7%78 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed TEC Esports18c877.59$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.6223447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Bilibili Gaming47c813.93$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.558950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed TEC Esports18c799.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.9912745.7%58 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TEC Esports43c734.26$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.891,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked TEC Esports50c693.57$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.1735142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Bilibili Gaming47c646.49$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.146437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e4a…72f3backed Bilibili Gaming53c597.86$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b5…7e1cbacked Bilibili Gaming49c593.51$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked TEC Esports59c582.78$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.4125336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8247…ee42backed Bilibili Gaming59c574.05$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.032352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bilibili Gaming53c568.52$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.1441537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Bilibili Gaming50c550$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.221,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac06…f93dbacked TEC Esports58c547.12$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.114334.9%15 W · 28 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x75d5…5cacbacked Bilibili Gaming69c545.21$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.5630%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Bilibili Gaming66c538.69$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.714531.1%14 W · 31 L-9.8wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Bilibili Gaming54c535.92$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.0542540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked TEC Esports18c500$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4104818.8%9 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ecf…66abbacked Bilibili Gaming80c498.95$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Bilibili Gaming28c472.29$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.299845.9%45 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5317…ec5abacked TEC Esports17c470.36$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Bilibili Gaming38c468.73$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.121040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Bilibili Gaming42c462.62$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4826634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Bilibili Gaming64c456.45$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.196672.7%48 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ba…ee0ebacked Bilibili Gaming66c441.26$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.833946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Bilibili Gaming60c438.76$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.3426758.8%157 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd991…0133backed Bilibili Gaming58c431.14$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.0911559.1%68 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Bilibili Gaming60c408.17$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Bilibili Gaming52c385.59$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.55234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Bilibili Gaming60c354$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.49737.1%36 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked TEC Esports50c350$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.53964.1%25 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+36%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3804…6d61backed TEC Esports56c341.67$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Bilibili Gaming43c341.51$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5577929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Bilibili Gaming64c338.73$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x551d…e8b6backed TEC Esports20c311.3$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.043847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66d5…ee81backed TEC Esports20c306.54$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.243537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8429…694cbacked TEC Esports20c304.64$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.713857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3657…a0a7backed TEC Esports20c300.83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.673537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked TEC Esports32c300.31$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.984153.7%22 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed TEC Esports43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17114447.2%68 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae5…5d19backed Bilibili Gaming80c298$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.43647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b95…04bbbacked Bilibili Gaming80c296$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.83650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Bilibili Gaming35c293.03$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1313225%33 W · 99 L-18.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-48.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe3bb…e26bbacked Bilibili Gaming80c293$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.43652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c44…5d15backed TEC Esports20c291.31$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.053852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x548e…9d41backed TEC Esports20c290.36$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.293652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee21…083cbacked TEC Esports20c288.46$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.763650%18 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x453b…db4abacked TEC Esports20c286.55$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.243658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6a9…769ebacked TEC Esports20c285.6$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.483557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0901…f1c5backed Bilibili Gaming68c275.57$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.71540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked Bilibili Gaming42c274.98$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5125444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked TEC Esports33c263.65$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dba…b14dbacked TEC Esports48c251.89$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed TEC Esports49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.54850%24 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked TEC Esports49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.54057.5%23 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+43.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed TEC Esports20c246.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.474463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Bilibili Gaming44c241.13$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1426932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed TEC Esports53c225.46$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9725555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65d…c3c0backed Bilibili Gaming80c219.83$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0185…0bd3backed Bilibili Gaming56c202.23$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+56.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Bilibili Gaming37c201.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.616725.4%17 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Bilibili Gaming49c200.76$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5641835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bilibili Gaming45c199.89$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0346326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed TEC Esports34c199.39$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.632152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed Bilibili Gaming49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9426354.4%143 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.