Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8648bfa700f257049153916a1ac74e19d3045ea539eded56ca2c6b4d4d048b89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEC Esportsof TEC Esports, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TEC Esports | 44c | 602.32$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.87 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 595.04$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.68 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 575.16$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.1 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 54c | 553.33$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.8 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked TEC Esports | 49c | 478.76$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.17 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed TEC Esports | 44c | 427.96$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.01 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 55c | 388.82$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.21 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed TEC Esports | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TEC Esports | 40c | 241$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 167.47$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.23 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bilibili Gaming | 46c | 147.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed TEC Esports | 72c | 140.54$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 128.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked TEC Esports | 58c | 116.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed TEC Esports | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked TEC Esports | 40c | 90.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed TEC Esports | 30c | 87.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked TEC Esports | 35c | 82.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…25bdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 81.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed TEC Esports | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 189 | 52.4%99 W · 90 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked TEC Esports | 15c | 70.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +11.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…07a6backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 51.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked TEC Esports | 31c | 51.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TEC Esports | 20c | 51.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 50.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6933…7ea3backed TEC Esports | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…1e7abacked TEC Esports | 39c | 44.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Bilibili Gaming | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked TEC Esports | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked TEC Esports | 76c | 31.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed TEC Esports | 46c | 31.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…a8f4backed TEC Esports | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked TEC Esports | 40c | 29.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed TEC Esports | 52c | 26.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 41cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…c59fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…bf41backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 13.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)TEC Esports won
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group AlphaTEC Esports won
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 WinnerTEC Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.