Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa91c9dd59733d9e83b29bb152cef302918e918f0c0a77f18e6d49f2c6f948035
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof EDward Gaming, Trace Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5005…f1b3backed EDward Gaming | 63c | 635.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…6e45backed Trace Esports | 36c | 629.86$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…c2c6backed EDward Gaming | 62c | 557$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c8…50eabacked Trace Esports | 37c | 548.45$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Trace Esports | 15c | 237.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +11.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed EDward Gaming | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Trace Esports | 34c | 199.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Trace Esports | 36c | 195.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…eaa4backed Trace Esports | 25c | 180.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Trace Esports | 16c | 176.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed EDward Gaming | 65c | 162.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked Trace Esports | 25c | 126.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked EDward Gaming | 74c | 104.48$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…629abacked EDward Gaming | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Trace Esports | 31c | 84.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Trace Esports | 26c | 83.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked Trace Esports | 26c | 73.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Trace Esports | 18c | 71.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…9fe1backed EDward Gaming | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Trace Esports | 36c | 51.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…8175backed Trace Esports | 27c | 49.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed EDward Gaming | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x295a…5adabacked Trace Esports | 30c | 34.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.34per pick | 41cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed EDward Gaming | 72c | 33.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed EDward Gaming | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a14…49d5backed EDward Gaming | 69c | 29.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…1e7abacked EDward Gaming | 79c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed EDward Gaming | 77c | 13.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group OmegaEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.