Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78ad7641807d38e551216129fb117cfc46a43de08ff4db49c18846884929370b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof EDward Gaming, Trace Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86f0…421fbacked EDward Gaming | 68c | 1,722$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Trace Esports | 29c | 1,330$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.39 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked EDward Gaming | 67c | 986.71$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.53 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Trace Esports | 28c | 866.01$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.13 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Trace Esports | 34c | 714.83$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.06 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Trace Esports | 40c | 345.25$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.86 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trace Esports | 11c | 334.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed EDward Gaming | 75c | 311.16$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.31 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked EDward Gaming | 73c | 294$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f7…75fbbacked Trace Esports | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…95dcbacked EDward Gaming | 67c | 226.38$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Trace Esports | 41c | 206.54$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Trace Esports | 31c | 204.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed EDward Gaming | 63c | 194.93$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…da18backed Trace Esports | 30c | 184.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Trace Esports | 22c | 147.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +11.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Trace Esports | 33c | 147.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked EDward Gaming | 73c | 147$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…5a03backed Trace Esports | 39c | 129.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed Trace Esports | 11c | 129$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked EDward Gaming | 78c | 125.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed EDward Gaming | 66c | 120.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed EDward Gaming | 72c | 119.28$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a14…49d5backed EDward Gaming | 59c | 119.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed EDward Gaming | 69c | 102.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…8b41backed Trace Esports | 30c | 96.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trace Esports | 39c | 81.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…a8f4backed EDward Gaming | 71c | 79.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked EDward Gaming | 51c | 77.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Trace Esports | 33c | 76.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…25bdbacked Trace Esports | 39c | 73.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed EDward Gaming | 75c | 64.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed EDward Gaming | 75c | 64.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Trace Esports | 33c | 57.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Trace Esports | 48c | 53.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -9.8wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…1e7abacked EDward Gaming | 69c | 48.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked Trace Esports | 31c | 47.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…bcf1backed EDward Gaming | 63c | 46.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…16cbbacked EDward Gaming | 76c | 43.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed EDward Gaming | 70c | 42.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked EDward Gaming | 57c | 41.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked EDward Gaming | 75c | 35.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…13a5backed EDward Gaming | 62c | 31.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked EDward Gaming | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Trace Esports | 51c | 23.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f0…4740backed EDward Gaming | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked EDward Gaming | 67c | 19.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed EDward Gaming | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36be…ec68backed EDward Gaming | 77c | 13.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group OmegaEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.