Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb33827cbb7200ab893eca5b4083099b84a0725f1982027adf060b98ab2277b2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Team Heretics, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…e406backed Team Heretics | 65c | 8,801$5,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720.66 | 548 | 51.1%280 W · 268 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 6,000$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.93 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Heretics | 51c | 4,519$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.41 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Team Heretics | 70c | 3,790$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.89 | 335 | 46.6%156 W · 179 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 3,614$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.01 | 534 | 55.2%295 W · 239 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 3,031$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.97 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Heretics | 48c | 2,931$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.23 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Heretics | 70c | 2,717$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.78 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,407$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.52 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,248$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.5 | 565 | 57.7%326 W · 239 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,130$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.31 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,110$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.02 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Heretics | 50c | 1,880$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.76 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,813$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.34 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,467$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.32 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,121$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.52 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Heretics | 44c | 1,076$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.88 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,054$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,038$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.4 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Heretics | 69c | 984$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.01 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed Team Heretics | 71c | 968.56$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Heretics | 47c | 917$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.88 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 821.93$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.63 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 800$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548 | 537 | 42.1%226 W · 311 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 690.56$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.52 | 893 | 44.3%396 W · 497 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Team Heretics | 27c | 609.05$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 601$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.66 | 391 | 42.5%166 W · 225 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 600$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Heretics | 56c | 499.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Team Heretics | 47c | 483.88$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.4 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 456.53$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.81 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 383.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Heretics | 29c | 325.09$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed Team Heretics | 68c | 308.88$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Team Heretics | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…b8bcbacked Team Heretics | 65c | 305$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Team Heretics | 67c | 299.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Team Heretics | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Heretics | 38c | 245.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 240$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Team Heretics | 50c | 225$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Heretics | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 197.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.59 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Team Heretics | 51c | 197.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Team Heretics | 44c | 176.52$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 174.07$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 165.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Heretics | 75c | 146.94$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 145.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Team Heretics | 49c | 143.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Team Heretics | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Heretics | 57c | 140.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c34…a023backed Team Heretics | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Team Heretics | 42c | 129.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…330abacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 128$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…25bdbacked Team Heretics | 63c | 123.43$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Heretics | 70c | 114$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 107.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Team Heretics | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Team Heretics | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 98.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Team Heretics | 67c | 87.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked Team Heretics | 59c | 84.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…1e7abacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 83.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…354ebacked Team Heretics | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed Team Heretics | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Team Heretics | 66c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Team Heretics | 66c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Heretics | 65c | 71.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Team Heretics | 68c | 58.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…480ebacked Team Heretics | 28c | 55.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Team Heretics | 67c | 47.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Team Heretics | 66c | 44.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d6…4af7backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 42.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Heretics | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Team Heretics | 64c | 40.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 268 | 58.6%157 W · 111 L | +18.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…db0cbacked Team Heretics | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…e3fbbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 36.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked Team Heretics | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed Team Heretics | 42c | 35.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…8319backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 34.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Team Heretics | 57c | 34.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 277 | 60.6%168 W · 109 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 34.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Team Heretics | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5959…4c4cbacked Team Heretics | 60c | 33.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Team Heretics | 66c | 31.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeae…17c7backed Team Heretics | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Heretics | 51c | 22.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…6af8backed Team Heretics | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9336…f565backed Team Heretics | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Team Heretics | 58c | 18.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaNatus Vincere won
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerTeam Heretics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.