TailMyPicks
Market

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Team Heretics, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,560 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba38…e406backed Team Heretics65c8,801$5,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,720.6654851.1%280 W · 268 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere35c6,000$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,903.9310455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Heretics51c4,519$2,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.4145033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Team Heretics70c3,790$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.8933546.6%156 W · 179 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere55c3,614$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.0153455.2%295 W · 239 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere46c3,031$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.9753159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Team Heretics48c2,931$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.2330147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team Heretics70c2,717$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.7826050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere62c2,407$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.5294361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere63c2,248$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.556557.7%326 W · 239 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere48c2,130$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.3168458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked Natus Vincere56c2,110$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.0224732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Heretics50c1,880$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.7617463.8%111 W · 63 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere33c1,813$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.3419157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere53c1,467$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.3293248.1%448 W · 484 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Natus Vincere30c1,121$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.5262156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Heretics44c1,076$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.881,60737.5%603 W · 1,004 L-75.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe207…56c7backed Natus Vincere31c1,054$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.941154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere48c1,038$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.465559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Heretics69c984$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.0133153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed Team Heretics71c968.56$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.681957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Heretics47c917$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.881,42251.3%729 W · 693 L+49.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Natus Vincere36c821.93$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.636747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere32c800$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54853742.1%226 W · 311 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere43c690.56$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.5289344.3%396 W · 497 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Team Heretics27c609.05$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9731227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere34c601$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.6639142.5%166 W · 225 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Natus Vincere29c600$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Team Heretics56c499.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9914152.5%74 W · 67 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Team Heretics47c483.88$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.43540%14 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Natus Vincere44c456.53$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.816637.9%25 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Natus Vincere26c383.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.3317332.4%56 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Heretics29c325.09$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.241,49546.6%696 W · 799 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed Team Heretics68c308.88$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21025555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Team Heretics49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15036138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5024…b8bcbacked Team Heretics65c305$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.253762.2%23 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21915553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Team Heretics67c299.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9928247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Team Heretics56c285.71$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16014645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Team Heretics38c245.27$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6569722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xbd31…8004backed Natus Vincere30c240$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16822047.7%105 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Team Heretics50c225$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.753036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid0%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Team Heretics66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13213642.6%58 W · 78 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Natus Vincere35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13023644.9%106 W · 130 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d91…c930backed Natus Vincere16c197.73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5921257.1%121 W · 91 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Team Heretics51c197.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc393…590abacked Team Heretics44c176.52$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.672638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Natus Vincere54c174.07$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3315217.8%27 W · 125 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Natus Vincere60c165.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.41540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Natus Vincere43c162.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7910225.5%26 W · 76 L-10.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Heretics75c146.94$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104353.5%23 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Natus Vincere35c145.63$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6621240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Team Heretics49c143.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.247540%30 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked Team Heretics70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006063.3%38 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Heretics57c140.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8420840.9%85 W · 123 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c34…a023backed Team Heretics55c130$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.71080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe6d…9d6abacked Team Heretics42c129.93$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.571225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf693…330abacked Natus Vincere48c128$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb69f…25bdbacked Team Heretics63c123.43$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Heretics70c114$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.821055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Natus Vincere32c107.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1418948.7%92 W · 97 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Team Heretics50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Team Heretics39c99.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2834739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Natus Vincere37c98.57$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.425752.1%134 W · 123 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed Team Heretics67c87.45$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5926354.4%143 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x317f…3a7abacked Team Heretics59c84.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014747.6%70 W · 77 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x891e…1e7abacked Natus Vincere74c83.52$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.693470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x199b…354ebacked Team Heretics37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5837…9a00backed Team Heretics69c80$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.216050.6%81 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Team Heretics66c80$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.827847.1%131 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed Team Heretics66c75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.528541.1%117 W · 168 L-26.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Heretics65c71.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0532152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Natus Vincere32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.551948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…0133backed Team Heretics68c58.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011559.1%68 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53db…480ebacked Team Heretics28c55.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Natus Vincere32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3414661.6%90 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Team Heretics67c47.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.732853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Team Heretics66c44.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8d6…4af7backed Natus Vincere32c42.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Heretics50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2129151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Team Heretics64c40.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2626858.6%157 W · 111 L+18.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2002…db0cbacked Team Heretics67c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.61968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeb4…e3fbbacked Natus Vincere55c36.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4470…c22ebacked Team Heretics42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-69.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb19f…1c86backed Team Heretics42c35.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.994918.4%9 W · 40 L-6.7wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-53%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd73b…8319backed Natus Vincere34c34.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Team Heretics57c34.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027760.6%168 W · 109 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Natus Vincere72c34.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Team Heretics44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514454.2%78 W · 66 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5959…4c4cbacked Team Heretics60c33.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204339.5%17 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed Team Heretics66c31.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0222058.6%129 W · 91 L+13.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbeae…17c7backed Team Heretics68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010262.7%64 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Heretics51c22.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.681,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c7d…6af8backed Team Heretics66c22.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152540%10 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9336…f565backed Team Heretics64c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Team Heretics58c18.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.