Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9c91fb21d91460e8f936ece037bba4eeb9926e340f3a40242aebee220e25c2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Nongshim RedForce, Paper Rex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec5c…3440backed Paper Rex | 57c | 2,104$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Paper Rex | 45c | 1,447$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.11 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Paper Rex | 65c | 934.29$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.77 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Nongshim RedForce | 58c | 874.98$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.04 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Paper Rex | 39c | 840.06$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.54 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 828.82$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.2 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Nongshim RedForce | 35c | 761.5$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.53 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 44c | 754.21$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.06 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 560.11$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.35 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Paper Rex | 39c | 504.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.54 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Nongshim RedForce | 62c | 491.28$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.8 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Nongshim RedForce | 35c | 485.07$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.37 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 14c | 462.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Nongshim RedForce | 58c | 406$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.48 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex | 46c | 392.85$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.08 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Paper Rex | 40c | 375.84$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.12 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Paper Rex | 54c | 368.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.73 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 62c | 337.22$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.75 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Nongshim RedForce | 68c | 330$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 323.55$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.42 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Nongshim RedForce | 58c | 318.91$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.78 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 53c | 278$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.72 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…7354backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 274.25$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.49 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Paper Rex | 66c | 180$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Paper Rex | 50c | 155$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Paper Rex | 52c | 129$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 128$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…1e7abacked Paper Rex | 70c | 126$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 61c | 108.18$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Paper Rex | 44c | 100.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Paper Rex | 66c | 100.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Paper Rex | 42c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…bb83backed Nongshim RedForce | 58c | 95.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…8978backed Nongshim RedForce | 45c | 80.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Paper Rex | 41c | 79.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…b1babacked Nongshim RedForce | 62c | 79.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Paper Rex | 40c | 54.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48eb…8828backed Paper Rex | 66c | 53.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 52.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Paper Rex | 39c | 51.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Nongshim RedForce | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…3a1abacked Paper Rex | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 35c | 47.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nongshim RedForce | 34c | 44.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Paper Rex | 44c | 41.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Paper Rex | 40c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Nongshim RedForce | 60c | 36.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 32.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…a8f4backed Nongshim RedForce | 62c | 32.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a04…6cb7backed Nongshim RedForce | 62c | 31.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf992…8436backed Nongshim RedForce | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 41c | 30.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Nongshim RedForce | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Paper Rex | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…7b7dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 61c | 24.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Nongshim RedForce | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa46b…c7c1backed Nongshim RedForce | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…653cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 62c | 17.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Paper Rex (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.