TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,633
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,633 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Paper Rex1c6,683$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.83130%0 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4c…39c0backed Paper Rex1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b4…18d6backed Nongshim RedForce76c3,600$2,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Paper Rex1c3,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…3440backed Paper Rex45c2,922$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Nongshim RedForce71c2,220$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.55666.1%37 W · 19 L+11.1wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+97.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Paper Rex2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%0 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Nongshim RedForce50c1,834$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.535955.9%33 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Paper Rex5c1,600$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80140%0 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Nongshim RedForce45c1,250$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.1121558.1%125 W · 90 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Paper Rex2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18701.4%1 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Paper Rex53c1,191$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.826051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nongshim RedForce76c1,176$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.9717463.8%111 W · 63 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Paper Rex22c1,121$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.5126634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Paper Rex2c952.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.24630%0 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Paper Rex2c950$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17790%0 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Nongshim RedForce46c900.03$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.0256357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Paper Rex17c850$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.54438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Paper Rex43c799.98$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.9993148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Paper Rex20c794.29$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0326730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nongshim RedForce56c763.97$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.6745033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Paper Rex18c712.46$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.078828.4%25 W · 63 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Paper Rex15c700$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Nongshim RedForce57c674.41$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.0611152.3%58 W · 53 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Paper Rex54c666.93$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.7422352.9%118 W · 105 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Paper Rex53c591.8$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.61040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Nongshim RedForce41c589.67$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.3741835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Paper Rex15c584$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.465646.4%26 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Paper Rex23c573.63$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.885738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Paper Rex24c563.23$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6370251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Paper Rex14c500$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Paper Rex17c470$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.613035.4%46 W · 84 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fe…54e5backed Paper Rex54c423.19$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.97742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8066…eb03backed Paper Rex54c423.19$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.97425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5818…44a3backed Nongshim RedForce56c422.82$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.57520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-64.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed Paper Rex22c346$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.51546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Paper Rex55c328.86$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.685032%16 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nongshim RedForce47c327.46$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5553355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Paper Rex4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121225%3 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+53.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Paper Rex76c285.24$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.6622455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Nongshim RedForce67c258.09$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6362156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nongshim RedForce55c240.9$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9588844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Paper Rex19c240$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.69133%30 W · 61 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nongshim RedForce71c207.25$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.061,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Paper Rex31c204.59$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.591,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Paper Rex19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9309…c705backed Paper Rex10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+122.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Paper Rex22c186$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.715839.2%62 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Paper Rex16c173$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.681926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Paper Rex12c159$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.564020%8 W · 32 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-57.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nongshim RedForce52c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.618241.2%75 W · 107 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59cc…b1babacked Paper Rex53c141.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Nongshim RedForce28c134$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6517448.3%84 W · 90 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7f…ddb1backed Nongshim RedForce76c131.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.38650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Paper Rex22c125$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.056924.6%17 W · 52 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-46.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Paper Rex41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.219240.1%77 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Nongshim RedForce32c108$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.81,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Nongshim RedForce30c105.88$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.891,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nongshim RedForce40c105.25$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.231,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Nongshim RedForce26c105$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3137545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Paper Rex19c104.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8311841.5%49 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Paper Rex19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1912243.4%53 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Paper Rex19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.213336.8%49 W · 84 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Paper Rex19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.212633.3%42 W · 84 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Paper Rex19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.214436.1%52 W · 92 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93de…f485backed Nongshim RedForce30c74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.81723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Paper Rex18c62.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9157517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xeac5…cab7backed Nongshim RedForce78c62.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.467948.1%38 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b6a…bb83backed Nongshim RedForce50c56.54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ac…a932backed Nongshim RedForce57c50.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked Paper Rex40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203351.5%17 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaff…5f75backed Paper Rex30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.75837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba0…24d5backed Nongshim RedForce57c46.04$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.84057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf1…8506backed Paper Rex53c40.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.832254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Paper Rex38c37.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.23831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe6e1…6579backed Paper Rex42c37.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.541442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked Paper Rex32c33.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.625444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Paper Rex54c32.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.492045%9 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf012…7354backed Paper Rex54c31.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.062634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nongshim RedForce76c30.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.471,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7fe…5a93backed Paper Rex53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed Paper Rex53c27.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.615952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f00…6628backed Paper Rex46c27.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-51.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed Nongshim RedForce57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3226354.4%143 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x672d…b570backed Paper Rex47c23.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Paper Rex53c23.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.493540%14 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x48eb…8828backed Nongshim RedForce51c21.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a04…6cb7backed Paper Rex54c20.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.222356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Nongshim RedForce53c20.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.752751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…40e2backed Paper Rex51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c7d…6af8backed Nongshim RedForce55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92540%10 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5b0…38c4backed Paper Rex53c19.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.373951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Paper Rex53c19.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.113946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.