Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: T1 vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf631822e2f7f65828b723127b6158e752b5b81052bfb9ec0d8a3d96282cb6d8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, VARREL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked T1 | 72c | 6,047$4,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.83 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed VARREL | 3c | 5,398$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.24 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked VARREL | 27c | 3,994$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.46 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed VARREL | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed VARREL | 29c | 1,800$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed VARREL | 28c | 1,800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed T1 | 72c | 1,444$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.08 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…ff40backed T1 | 71c | 1,415$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed T1 | 73c | 987.45$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.43 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed VARREL | 27c | 926$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VARREL | 30c | 861.51$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.55 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked T1 | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked VARREL | 27c | 777$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.79 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…3624backed T1 | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed VARREL | 30c | 658.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked VARREL | 13c | 631.46$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed VARREL | 23c | 502.86$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.47 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa934…8b38backed VARREL | 6c | 429.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…615bbacked VARREL | 31c | 421$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.71 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed T1 | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked T1 | 68c | 373$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.72 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked T1 | 58c | 348.25$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.16 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…ba10backed T1 | 71c | 324.77$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked T1 | 78c | 324.03$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked T1 | 64c | 322.12$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.53 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed T1 | 63c | 314.07$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed VARREL | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked VARREL | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed T1 | 73c | 282.98$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed T1 | 69c | 279.85$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed T1 | 71c | 276.89$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed VARREL | 20c | 267.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed T1 | 77c | 258.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked VARREL | 25c | 245.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked VARREL | 37c | 236.59$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed T1 | 73c | 221.93$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…202abacked T1 | 74c | 211.47$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked T1 | 70c | 205.26$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed T1 | 65c | 202$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed VARREL | 26c | 186.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed T1 | 76c | 183.73$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0b…c102backed VARREL | 39c | 182.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked VARREL | 7c | 181$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed VARREL | 35c | 173$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked T1 | 78c | 169$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed T1 | 74c | 168$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…3533backed T1 | 72c | 157.63$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed T1 | 72c | 153.73$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed T1 | 70c | 151.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 269 | 32.3%87 W · 182 L | -25.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ba…ee0ebacked T1 | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…cab7backed VARREL | 27c | 148.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked T1 | 67c | 148.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed VARREL | 26c | 142.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed VARREL | 30c | 141.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…8175backed T1 | 64c | 141.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked T1 | 65c | 141$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c17…f4f0backed T1 | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed VARREL | 41c | 136.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed VARREL | 26c | 130$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed VARREL | 22c | 130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked VARREL | 32c | 130$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed T1 | 72c | 128$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed VARREL | 22c | 123.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked T1 | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed VARREL | 38c | 110.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked VARREL | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed VARREL | 24c | 109.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…166abacked VARREL | 33c | 103.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked VARREL | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed VARREL | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked VARREL | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed T1 | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed T1 | 79c | 99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked T1 | 71c | 94.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed T1 | 69c | 87.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5c9dbacked T1 | 77c | 86.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed VARREL | 23c | 86.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d8…9ccdbacked VARREL | 25c | 82.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…a9f2backed T1 | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked T1 | 68c | 78.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked T1 | 66c | 77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed T1 | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed T1 | 77c | 72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked VARREL | 21c | 71.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed T1 | 73c | 68.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed VARREL | 24c | 66.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VARREL | 24c | 65.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked T1 | 71c | 65.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa120…26e9backed T1 | 74c | 64.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed VARREL | 24c | 63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked T1 | 78c | 57.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked VARREL | 29c | 55.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…2522backed VARREL | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed T1 | 63c | 55.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd933…4e0abacked VARREL | 37c | 53.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…0d42backed VARREL | 38c | 53.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed VARREL | 32c | 50.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed VARREL | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed T1 | 76c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked VARREL | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: T1 vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegathis page
- Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)T1 won
- Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 1 WinnerT1 won
- Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.