Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80e44b133f278fd96c20283129cbfe18d1ce9b1a95dedbe4f1e99f3ee0a825cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, VARREL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked T1 | 79c | 1,587$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.3 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked VARREL | 34c | 830$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.73 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed VARREL | 35c | 799.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked VARREL | 14c | 500$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked T1 | 78c | 371.9$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked VARREL | 16c | 336.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…eb4fbacked T1 | 60c | 310.3$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked T1 | 64c | 299$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VARREL | 21c | 233.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed VARREL | 40c | 199$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked T1 | 67c | 193.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed T1 | 65c | 187.18$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked T1 | 67c | 157.07$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed VARREL | 16c | 130.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed VARREL | 16c | 125.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked VARREL | 38c | 103.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c17…f4f0backed T1 | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed VARREL | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed VARREL | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…9733backed VARREL | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed T1 | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed VARREL | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed T1 | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed T1 | 65c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked T1 | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed T1 | 62c | 28.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed VARREL | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed T1 | 70c | 27.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked T1 | 64c | 17.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc18c…63dabacked T1 | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)T1 won
- Valorant: T1 vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaT1 won
- Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 1 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.