Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59cb1befe1ba045630d8a6de9f34414e9a09df728c1aa2b543fc21bbad167b8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, VARREL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed VARREL | 43c | 4,948$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.52 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…8eafbacked T1 | 62c | 3,594$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…3440backed VARREL | 44c | 2,493$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked T1 | 48c | 2,075$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.8 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked T1 | 57c | 1,649$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.86 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked T1 | 57c | 1,282$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.26 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed T1 | 65c | 800$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.99 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed VARREL | 52c | 595$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.55 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed VARREL | 38c | 500.75$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.97 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cb…bdcdbacked VARREL | 61c | 493.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked VARREL | 37c | 465.89$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.7 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked T1 | 60c | 424.72$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.59 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked T1 | 44c | 411.89$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.49 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked VARREL | 38c | 407.69$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed T1 | 65c | 344.51$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed T1 | 48c | 306.26$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.07 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed VARREL | 33c | 267.46$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed T1 | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed VARREL | 64c | 227.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.87 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed T1 | 70c | 200.28$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed T1 | 55c | 200.23$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked VARREL | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…eb4fbacked T1 | 52c | 188.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed VARREL | 39c | 185.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked T1 | 48c | 177.18$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.61 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a7…569ebacked T1 | 75c | 171.39$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked VARREL | 37c | 170.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed VARREL | 39c | 168$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked VARREL | 40c | 155.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c17…f4f0backed T1 | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed T1 | 48c | 143.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked T1 | 75c | 141.87$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed T1 | 58c | 139$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed T1 | 76c | 131.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed VARREL | 23c | 129.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked T1 | 53c | 118$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed T1 | 52c | 118$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed T1 | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed T1 | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 189 | 52.4%99 W · 90 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked T1 | 34c | 99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked VARREL | 43c | 93.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed T1 | 66c | 89.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed T1 | 42c | 89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed T1 | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed VARREL | 46c | 77.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…8c46backed T1 | 62c | 75.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed VARREL | 56c | 73.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked VARREL | 45c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed VARREL | 40c | 65.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed T1 | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…38c4backed VARREL | 36c | 56.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed T1 | 63c | 54.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed T1 | 60c | 51.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed T1 | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…3a1abacked T1 | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed VARREL | 47c | 45.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed VARREL | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed VARREL | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked T1 | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed T1 | 55c | 34.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed VARREL | 38c | 33.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed VARREL | 36c | 32.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed T1 | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked T1 | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed VARREL | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked T1 | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked VARREL | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed T1 | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed VARREL | 71c | 23.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed T1 | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed T1 | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed T1 | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)T1 won
- Valorant: T1 vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaT1 won
- Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.