NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc41ada612461b7090d8b19086cc4c2060e16f7eaeb985aeee089f4fe2c12de7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Warriors, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,321,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,715,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,321,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,039 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Warriors | 17c | 304,581$50,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,739.7 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6e…48e6backed Warriors | 17c | 230,000$39,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,100 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Warriors | 17c | 155,402$26,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,247.49 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Nuggets | 64c | 83,502$53,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,060.67 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Warriors | 2c | 70,309$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.76 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Warriors | 1c | 64,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Warriors | 19c | 61,195$11,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,327.08 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Warriors | 39c | 61,092$23,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,809.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Nuggets | 76c | 50,518$38,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,343.56 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 16c | 45,723$7,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,103.21 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 28c | 42,240$12,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,006.87 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Warriors | 16c | 41,426$6,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,628.14 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Warriors | 15c | 40,365$6,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.38 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Nuggets | 79c | 37,775$29,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,042.18 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nuggets | 66c | 34,007$22,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,533.56 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 16c | 32,203$5,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,065.1 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Warriors | 14c | 29,998$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.76 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nuggets | 73c | 23,722$17,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,337.35 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Warriors | 17c | 23,164$3,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,907 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Warriors | 15c | 22,325$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.4 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…477cbacked Warriors | 5c | 20,299$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Warriors | 9c | 20,168$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.77 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 27c | 20,029$5,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,440.17 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…38e9backed Warriors | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Nuggets | 64c | 19,999$12,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.6 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Warriors | 32c | 19,998$6,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.32 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Nuggets | 64c | 19,650$12,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,074 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 12c | 19,526$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.22 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Nuggets | 60c | 18,858$11,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,601.22 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…bcabbacked Warriors | 15c | 16,917$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.54 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa115…6c5abacked Nuggets | 59c | 16,836$9,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,859.05 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 24c | 16,299$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Warriors | 15c | 16,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Nuggets | 72c | 15,364$11,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,314.3 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…1e6dbacked Warriors | 0c | 15,192$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Warriors | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 15c | 15,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Nuggets | 63c | 15,000$9,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,625 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Warriors | 17c | 13,974$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.39 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Nuggets | 64c | 13,168$8,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,742.22 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Warriors | 1c | 12,706$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.41 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 79c | 12,659$9,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.39 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Warriors | 17c | 12,579$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…e0ddbacked Nuggets | 68c | 12,566$8,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,055.54 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…4392backed Warriors | 15c | 12,548$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Warriors | 30c | 12,179$3,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,695.18 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Nuggets | 75c | 11,000$8,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.99 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Warriors | 13c | 10,397$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.58 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e6…7ce6backed Warriors | 15c | 10,300$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…2023backed Nuggets | 79c | 10,176$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.74 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c8…04febacked Warriors | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Warriors | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Warriors | 24c | 9,985$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.18 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Warriors | 8c | 9,489$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.24 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Warriors | 23c | 8,692$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.26 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Warriors | 18c | 8,364$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.5 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Warriors | 37c | 8,108$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 28c | 7,977$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.31 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Warriors | 34c | 7,669$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.58 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 31c | 7,425$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.08 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Warriors | 21c | 7,408$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.04 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Warriors | 14c | 7,000$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.07 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 35c | 6,826$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.8 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Warriors | 25c | 6,614$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.56 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8e…f961backed Warriors | 28c | 6,600$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…8ca3backed Warriors | 14c | 6,400$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Warriors | 28c | 6,300$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d9…2becbacked Nuggets | 64c | 6,250$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Nuggets | 78c | 6,234$4,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.44 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors | 0c | 6,105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Warriors | 9c | 5,890$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.92 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Nuggets | 69c | 5,774$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.23 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Warriors | 26c | 5,729$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.14 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets | 75c | 5,724$4,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.6 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Nuggets | 70c | 5,701$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.81 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 24c | 5,536$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.65 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Warriors | 27c | 5,436$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.88 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c34…c469backed Warriors | 1c | 5,305$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Warriors | 6c | 5,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Nuggets | 62c | 5,000$3,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.73 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3b…447bbacked Warriors | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed Warriors | 25c | 4,761$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.37 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors | 36c | 4,650$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.98 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Warriors | 8c | 4,627$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.42 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 15c | 4,616$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.38 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Warriors | 19c | 4,494$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.46 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Warriors | 19c | 4,383$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.96 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d5…e577backed Warriors | 17c | 4,360$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Warriors | 14c | 4,200$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Warriors | 16c | 4,110$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.6 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Warriors | 40c | 4,100$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Nuggets | 74c | 4,063$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…f0c4backed Nuggets | 60c | 4,027$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.29 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Nuggets | 68c | 4,016$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.88 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Warriors | 1c | 4,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Warriors | 14c | 4,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.98 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Warriors | 15c | 3,976$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a06dbacked Warriors | 9c | 3,898$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.93 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b21…5cc4backed Warriors | 15c | 3,800$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.25per pick | 43cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Nuggetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Warriors won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 11.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Peyton Watson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.