CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dd1388833a546b941781788b31be38bce075e7dd7ab4559a58918b56ca94508
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $459,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $612,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $459,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Vitality | 56c | 115,625$65,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,435.61 | 306 | 40.2%123 W · 183 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 108,825$68,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,021.2 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Vitality | 38c | 95,362$35,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,566.27 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 55,000$34,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,649.98 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Vitality | 37c | 13,616$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,615.58 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 12,917$7,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,436.49 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 10,906$7,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,088.96 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 10,564$6,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,584.7 | 1,740 | 47%817 W · 923 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 10,281$6,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,473.99 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Vitality | 38c | 7,949$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.52 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Vitality | 35c | 7,900$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,135 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 6,932$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,139.98 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 724 | 46.4%336 W · 388 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 4,300$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.59 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed Vitality | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.99 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 3,617$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.6 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Vitality | 35c | 3,337$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.22 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Vitality | 37c | 3,272$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.97 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Vitality | 37c | 3,064$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.94 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,840$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.45 | 172 | 35.5%61 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Vitality | 36c | 2,639$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.21 | 275 | 59.3%163 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…1cc2backed Vitality | 38c | 2,376$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.65 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…d3b8backed Vitality | 36c | 2,358$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.33 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,342$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 2,244$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.76 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Vitality | 35c | 1,856$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.22 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vitality | 60c | 1,632$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.92 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.98 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,530$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.13 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,500$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.98 | 1,094 | 51.1%559 W · 535 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,488$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.74 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Vitality | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,356$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.54 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Vitality | 43c | 1,150$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.68 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Vitality | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.86 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Vitality | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…17b9backed Vitality | 49c | 1,050$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.88 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Vitality | 41c | 1,027$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.46 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +11.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,026$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.41 | 2,472 | 44.5%1,101 W · 1,371 L | -68.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 241 | 34.4%83 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Vitality | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…1debbacked Vitality | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Vitality | 51c | 985.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.26 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Vitality | 77c | 966.81$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.89 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Vitality | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 294 | 52%153 W · 141 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 700 | 53.3%373 W · 327 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Vitality | 35c | 790$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.5 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Vitality | 37c | 756.89$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.89 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 756.3$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.82 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Vitality | 58c | 704.61$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.61 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Vitality | 37c | 704.15$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.7 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Vitality | 36c | 691.67$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.67 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Vitality | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Vitality | 51c | 683.94$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.94 | 974 | 45.5%443 W · 531 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…227abacked Vitality | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Vitality | 37c | 652$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.76 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Vitality | 60c | 607.08$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.85 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed Vitality | 70c | 601.22$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.25 | 325 | 73.2%238 W · 87 L | +22.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 599.98$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Vitality | 35c | 579.93$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.15 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed Vitality | 36c | 565.53$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.9 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Vitality | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 319 | 54.5%174 W · 145 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Vitality | 36c | 550$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.5 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Vitality | 37c | 541$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.83 | 282 | 43.6%123 W · 159 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Vitality | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed Vitality | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…713dbacked Vitality | 47c | 519.83$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.27 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 517.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 373 | 45.6%170 W · 203 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked Vitality | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Vitality | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Vitality | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3a…c3c8backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 494.71$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Vitality | 40c | 456.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.63 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 453.13$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Vitality | 38c | 430.79$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.09 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…bb56backed Vitality | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd1…cfb5backed Vitality | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…0ef5backed Vitality | 37c | 406.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.08 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 400.79$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Vitality | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Vitality | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Vitality | 35c | 399.66$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.78 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Vitality | 42c | 396.1$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.38 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Vitality | 38c | 384.73$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.53 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Vitality | 75c | 384.42$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.19 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Vitality | 38c | 384.21$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.21 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…6b95backed Vitality | 38c | 382.47$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Vitality | 34c | 380.45$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.1 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 375$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…38c4backed Vitality | 44c | 372.39$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Vitality | 70c | 371.84$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.84 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.