CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc12a9ba0b37ba3b4cb4ded8bbb3b1ecaa23dbcf744b694e88a074ff8d3ec35bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $709,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $724,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $709,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Natus Vincere | 0c | 127,403$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.4 | 134 | 16.4%22 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 102,973$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Natus Vincere | 0c | 22,780$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 73c | 17,219$12,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,653.81 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Vitality | 80c | 16,497$13,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.4 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 15,646$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224.4 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Vitality | 75c | 15,255$11,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850.47 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 13,236$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.46 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…ee57backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 12,390$4,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,621.88 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Vitality | 73c | 10,750$7,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 10,659$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 9,519$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 9,292$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.93 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vitality | 72c | 7,256$5,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.52 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Vitality | 73c | 6,849$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.31 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…bc3cbacked Natus Vincere | 3c | 5,506$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 5,420$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.43 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…c5aebacked Natus Vincere | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 4,801$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.33 | 229 | 41.9%96 W · 133 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 4,671$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.72 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 4,410$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.7 | 293 | 47.1%138 W · 155 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 3,860$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.53 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 3,571$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.71 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 3,316$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.57 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 2,837$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.99 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 2,762$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.19 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Vitality | 73c | 2,739$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.62 | 659 | 50.4%332 W · 327 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 2,339$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.16 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 2,200$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 2,173$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…4d93backed Vitality | 71c | 2,132$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.85 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…e6d7backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 2,093$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.11 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Vitality | 71c | 2,053$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.26 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Vitality | 73c | 2,022$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.58 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 2,004$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.52 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,993$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.28 | 463 | 49.9%231 W · 232 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Vitality | 72c | 1,966$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.88 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -20.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 1,948$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.23 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 1,917$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.89 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 1,819$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.47 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 1,800$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.99 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed Vitality | 73c | 1,784$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.02 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 1,777$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.72 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,684$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 256 | 40.2%103 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed Vitality | 72c | 1,655$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.53 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Vitality | 72c | 1,640$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.24 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…6f16backed Vitality | 71c | 1,510$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.95 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55f…5705backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,487$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 60 | 5%3 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Vitality | 71c | 1,405$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.45 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 1,391$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.47 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Vitality | 74c | 1,376$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.35 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 1,364$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.39 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Vitality | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 1,333$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.61 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed Vitality | 74c | 1,304$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.93 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vitality | 72c | 1,271$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.58 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Vitality | 73c | 1,179$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.01 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 1,171$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.58 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…f97bbacked Natus Vincere | 13c | 1,146$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.78 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…5d64backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,104$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.19 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,098$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.82 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed Vitality | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.08 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vitality | 73c | 1,052$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.85 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,036$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.44 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Vitality | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e4…36e9backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…ff41backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 999.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 986$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.22 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 979.8$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 574 | 22.5%129 W · 445 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x918e…c0f6backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 971.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 963.18$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.57 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 961.86$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.74 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 936.89$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.51 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…227abacked Vitality | 69c | 861.29$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.23 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Vitality | 79c | 813.78$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.45 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Vitality | 74c | 810.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 782.57$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Vitality | 74c | 781.89$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Natus Vincere | 10c | 747$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 727$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.38 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…e281backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 716.61$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 709.02$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.17 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…f860backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 706.7$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality | 59c | 699.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 687.57$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.51 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Vitality | 73c | 680$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 111 | 66.7%74 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Vitality | 76c | 678.74$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.74 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb08…06acbacked Vitality | 75c | 667.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.42 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Vitality | 78c | 657.07$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.07 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b1…8801backed Vitality | 61c | 656$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 648.15$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Vitality | 73c | 625.66$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.93 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 576.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Vitality | 78c | 540.18$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.18 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Vitality | 76c | 524.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.53 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 515.06$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.22 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Vitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.