TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof Vitality, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$709,885
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$724,609

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $709,885 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Natus Vincere0c127,403$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.413416.4%22 W · 112 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Natus Vincere0c102,973$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9753746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked Natus Vincere0c22,780$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7827548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality73c17,219$12,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,653.8176657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Vitality80c16,497$13,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,302.49071.1%64 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Natus Vincere27c15,646$4,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,224.47146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Vitality75c15,255$11,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,850.4724346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Natus Vincere22c13,236$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,846.4630726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…ee57backed Natus Vincere37c12,390$4,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,621.884731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Vitality73c10,750$7,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,951.331855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Natus Vincere1c10,659$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.516245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Natus Vincere27c9,519$2,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,57011940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere24c9,292$2,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,242.933,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vitality72c7,256$5,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.523,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Vitality73c6,849$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.3112449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8781…bc3cbacked Natus Vincere3c5,506$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.152334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Natus Vincere4c5,420$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.431,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd0…c5aebacked Natus Vincere0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10924.3%4 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Natus Vincere29c4,801$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.3322941.9%96 W · 133 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere17c4,671$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.722,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Natus Vincere27c4,410$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.729347.1%138 W · 155 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere26c3,860$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.532,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere24c3,571$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.716,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Natus Vincere10c3,316$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.5748437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Natus Vincere26c2,837$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.9916935.5%60 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Natus Vincere26c2,762$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.195848.3%28 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Vitality73c2,739$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.6265950.4%332 W · 327 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere24c2,339$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.1639248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Natus Vincere9c2,200$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19841716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Natus Vincere12c2,173$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25032653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b97…4d93backed Vitality71c2,132$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.858151.9%42 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58be…e6d7backed Natus Vincere29c2,093$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.113754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Vitality71c2,053$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.262955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed Vitality73c2,022$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.5813044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Natus Vincere12c2,004$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.5228453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Natus Vincere27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5404854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere26c1,993$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.2846349.9%231 W · 232 L-1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Vitality72c1,966$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.8816449.4%81 W · 83 L-20.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Natus Vincere28c1,948$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.2365351.9%339 W · 314 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere21c1,917$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.892,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Natus Vincere19c1,819$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.4729831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked Natus Vincere22c1,800$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.9952834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed Vitality73c1,784$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.0214352.4%75 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere28c1,777$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.721,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Natus Vincere30c1,684$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025640.2%103 W · 153 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e85…3015backed Vitality72c1,655$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.538563.5%54 W · 31 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd7cf…a603backed Vitality72c1,640$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.243056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x835b…6f16backed Vitality71c1,510$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.953748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Natus Vincere27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40561228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb55f…5705backed Natus Vincere2c1,487$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.59605%3 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-44.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Vitality71c1,405$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.4598856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere21c1,391$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4789546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Vitality74c1,376$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.3517850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Natus Vincere22c1,364$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.3921939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked Vitality74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3523056.1%129 W · 101 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere22c1,333$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.611,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb9…9dd0backed Vitality74c1,304$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.934173.2%30 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Vitality72c1,271$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.584,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Vitality73c1,179$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.0121351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed Natus Vincere17c1,171$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5812641.3%52 W · 74 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x417f…f97bbacked Natus Vincere13c1,146$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.785133.3%17 W · 34 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70d8…5d64backed Natus Vincere27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012452.4%65 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Natus Vincere27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30041847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere23c1,104$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.191,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Natus Vincere27c1,098$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.8228046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed Vitality74c1,081$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.085158.8%30 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Vitality73c1,052$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.851,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Natus Vincere23c1,036$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4417148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed Vitality73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27029465.3%192 W · 102 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92e4…36e9backed Natus Vincere1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38b…ff41backed Natus Vincere10c999.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-77.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Natus Vincere27c986$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.2228644.1%126 W · 160 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Natus Vincere13c979.8$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8757422.5%129 W · 445 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x918e…c0f6backed Natus Vincere4c971.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.03195.3%1 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-91.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Natus Vincere29c963.18$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.576854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Natus Vincere29c961.86$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.749058.9%53 W · 37 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere28c936.89$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.515,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce99…227abacked Vitality69c861.29$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.231573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Vitality79c813.78$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.4519362.2%120 W · 73 L-16.0wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Vitality74c810.81$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.8127658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Natus Vincere18c782.57$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14118336.6%67 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Vitality74c781.89$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Natus Vincere10c747$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4912153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere21c727$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.385,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe878…e281backed Natus Vincere28c716.61$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.651050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere24c709.02$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1733043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x663b…f860backed Natus Vincere28c706.7$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.871136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality59c699.99$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28781751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Natus Vincere26c687.57$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5155950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed Vitality73c680$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.611166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Vitality76c678.74$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.741,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb08…06acbacked Vitality75c667.42$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.428351.8%43 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Vitality78c657.07$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0746565.6%305 W · 160 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b1…8801backed Vitality61c656$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.84650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere27c648.15$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Vitality73c625.66$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.9315970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere18c576.11$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.322,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c64…c336backed Vitality78c540.18$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.185549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Vitality76c524.53$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5378963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Natus Vincere21c515.06$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2215544.5%69 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.