TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,592

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Over50c14,638$7,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,387.3433043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c10,619$5,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,141.283,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under38c7,348$2,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,539.116450%32 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecee…a577backed Under38c3,282$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.548226.8%22 W · 60 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over64c3,125$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012465.3%81 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over64c1,635$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.43447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Under57c1,445$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.3925555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under35c1,269$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.981,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c1,174$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.912,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over64c1,124$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.3535940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under50c1,027$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.539058.9%53 W · 37 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over24c910.74$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.273,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Over25c843.28$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.7936645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under50c819.76$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.8824544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under40c810$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.4564852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a1e…8ecabacked Over60c799.98$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.992055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+61.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6c7…0b56backed Over53c660.38$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508330.1%25 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x417f…f97bbacked Under49c645$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.155133.3%17 W · 34 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9505…01c1backed Over32c634.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba10…bf97backed Over65c615.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40021644.4%96 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under39c526.4$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.512,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Over63c513.16$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.1614950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Under37c505$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1514454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2507757.1%44 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf03…3f1dbacked Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2659548.4%46 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over52c469.86$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2216047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x897a…1495backed Over64c452.05$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.312657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0db…d4f0backed Over52c443.96$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.931118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.37per pick56cpaid-61.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Under47c420.12$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.661957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Over61c383.63$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9815954.7%87 W · 72 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under56c345.88$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8629555.3%163 W · 132 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Over62c321.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8769…04aebacked Under64c313.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.874564.4%29 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Over61c300.86$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18525941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe910…57eebacked Over64c287.82$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18417043.5%74 W · 96 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under38c260.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.5160451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a0…c66dbacked Under51c260.06$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.631855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under60c257.05$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7740635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde75…3308backed Over64c256.25$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over22c246.06$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3911646.6%54 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…fc62backed Under49c232.33$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…fbfcbacked Under39c231.29$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.291450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked Under48c224.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.998633.7%29 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc03d…07e1backed Under36c219.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.793847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Under55c213$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4748948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6fd…30f0backed Over67c205.76$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.868951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under33c203.36$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.751,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf91…5010backed Over64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1284660.9%28 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Under58c200$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0738954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Over58c199.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9940655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c8…ce30backed Under70c199.89$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.97875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over54c185$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.881246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c91…c7ecbacked Over59c168.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.051729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc88b…0912backed Over23c160$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae2…06f0backed Over63c157.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaccd…7402backed Over64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Over64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044641.3%184 W · 262 L-28.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over65c156.24$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9913158.8%77 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over64c155.11$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.272846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Over59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.511753.8%63 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb7…0ce1backed Over60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over64c138.1$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3833352.6%175 W · 158 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e1…0a7fbacked Over65c136.17$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.51560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over49c135.49$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6427556.7%156 W · 119 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7342…9197backed Over64c134.05$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.791631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.25per pick57cpaid-47.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd7a9…282abacked Under38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.582060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over36c130$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.311,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf764…78b8backed Over64c125$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under41c124.36$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.565,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47fe…ab9abacked Over70c123.36$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b0b…94d1backed Under47c113.49$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.392540%10 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Under50c113.09$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.551457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b52…c945backed Under49c102.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+72%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Under45c102$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5627443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under53c102$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6949745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x989e…6529backed Under71c99.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2913040%52 W · 78 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae4d…26a3backed Under64c99.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Under40c99.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9925251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2131…1e8bbacked Under40c95.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.31457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd1…cfb5backed Under54c93.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.152339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb391…49e7backed Over64c89.19$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.882937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed Under40c87.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.520145.8%92 W · 109 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Under52c81.08$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.783842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce0f…29dabacked Over63c78.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf986…6833backed Under55c78.17$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.92540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9217850.6%90 W · 88 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over62c73.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.321,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Under74c72.96$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.953554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49a1…41cbbacked Over63c71.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458770.1%61 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba3…6c19backed Under70c71.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.063357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2739…1a9dbacked Over64c70.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455743.9%25 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b08…c2b7backed Over42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x846d…67b3backed Over62c70$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.424842.7%106 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0de1…916dbacked Over58c69.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Under41c65.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.718749.4%43 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba28…fa8fbacked Over64c65.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.81931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x856b…5f76backed Over64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404757.4%27 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.