TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe910…57ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT17043.5%74 W · 96 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 170 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.73
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$75.24
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$46.24
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.76
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend (BO5) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.99
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+109.2%+$154.8
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.29
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$93.46
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$85.39
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.57
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$731.44
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$73.33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.8
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+89%+$51.8
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$43.62
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$291.67
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.11
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.56
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.17
Showing 25 of 170 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+229.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$65.69
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+427.5%+$234.94
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.