CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf484d40fc127775a188d83dd0a0f77ec58f35587071432ec00d393d53687c2f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Vitality | 67c | 38,000$25,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,540 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 26,049$8,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,596.07 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Vitality | 65c | 19,595$12,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,874.17 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 19,177$6,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,711.92 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 18,973$6,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,472.17 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 17,645$5,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,937.73 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5a…ff9fbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 17,412$5,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,570.31 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Vitality | 67c | 16,515$11,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,463.15 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Vitality | 68c | 10,940$7,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.94 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…6ed9backed Vitality | 71c | 6,214$4,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.19 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Vitality | 64c | 5,972$3,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.96 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Vitality | 68c | 5,885$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.31 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 5,376$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.8 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f0…6ca0backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 4,620$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 4,303$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.68 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 3,750$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.99 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Vitality | 65c | 3,407$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.45 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Vitality | 63c | 3,003$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Vitality | 67c | 2,809$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.43 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Vitality | 64c | 2,070$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.6 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Vitality | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.98 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb994…5f1cbacked Vitality | 65c | 1,960$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Vitality | 65c | 1,840$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.92 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Vitality | 64c | 1,757$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.93 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Vitality | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Vitality | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4367…e904backed Vitality | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,379$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.97 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,250$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Vitality | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 942.05$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.8 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked Vitality | 65c | 796.11$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.29 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 759.76$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.72 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…6b95backed Vitality | 69c | 724.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 666.5$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.95 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 661.27$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.35 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Vitality | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 577$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.95 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Vitality | 70c | 572.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.74 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Vitality | 72c | 558$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fad…b5fbbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 557.28$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Vitality | 75c | 522.42$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Vitality | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Vitality | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Vitality | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc77…17afbacked Vitality | 68c | 491.06$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Vitality | 66c | 459.95$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.38 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 459.33$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Vitality | 66c | 443.94$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.94 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1073…9b1fbacked Vitality | 68c | 440.28$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.89 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Vitality | 60c | 426.36$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.54 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 388.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Vitality | 68c | 367$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…4dc5backed Vitality | 68c | 354.46$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Vitality | 68c | 318.47$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Vitality | 66c | 312.12$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…4fa4backed Vitality | 67c | 305.81$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Vitality | 63c | 299.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9e…b513backed Vitality | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 285.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Vitality | 65c | 278.02$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Vitality | 66c | 263$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fff…3a96backed Vitality | 68c | 254.41$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 251.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…a8bdbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 251.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 221.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…0ef5backed Vitality | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed Vitality | 67c | 219.14$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Vitality | 67c | 200.57$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Vitality | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Vitality | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Vitality | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…ba17backed Vitality | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 196.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 190.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 189.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…096dbacked Vitality | 65c | 183.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…360bbacked Vitality | 68c | 182.12$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Vitality | 68c | 180.47$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 220 | 60.9%134 W · 86 L | +16.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…764fbacked Vitality | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…c6c1backed Vitality | 65c | 173.15$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Vitality | 66c | 164.5$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…07f5backed Vitality | 66c | 163.79$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Vitality | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 252 | 52.8%133 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4437…a474backed Vitality | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bb…50dcbacked Vitality | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…a399backed Vitality | 67c | 148.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed Vitality | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Vitality | 68c | 146.13$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 144.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 136.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.