TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc77…17af

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9
Roland Garros ATP: Jaume Munar vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Huzhou: Yufei Ren vs Yidi Yangbacked Yidi Yang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$26.9
Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Darwin Blanchbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.08
Mexico City: Jay Clarke vs Matias Sotobacked Matias Soto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.99
Campinas: Pedro Sakamoto vs Joao Eduardo Schiesslbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Credit One Charleston Open: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.02
Grand Prix Hassan II: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.37
Miyazaki: Rio Noguchi vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Tung-Lin Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.13
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$27.24
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$24.94
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$35.14
DEL: Koelner Haie vs. Eisbaeren Berlinbacked Koelner Haie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+154.7%+$29.82
AHL: Grand Rapids Griffins vs. Manitoba Moosebacked Grand Rapids Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$24.77
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+56.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.66
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40.99
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$40.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Blast: Kent vs Sussexbacked Sussex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: French Flair vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.