Premier League · resolved market
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bf1051878dc06694a1c3f82911d4cfb2d9a74c7bbf772eca91d613fc865b179
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Yes | 23c | 18,613$4,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,279.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 14,244$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250.03 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 8,337$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.84 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 3,652$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.07 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 18c | 3,586$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.49 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 45c | 2,396$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.99 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 57c | 2,105$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 1,513$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.83 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…d31bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,386$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.28 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,346$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.17 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.38 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 57c | 1,189$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.53 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 1,135$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.66 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 76c | 968$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.32 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 43c | 927.91$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.91 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 24c | 824.23$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.42 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Yes | 57c | 808.5$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.76 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 17c | 647.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 13c | 626.9$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 45c | 505.32$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.54 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…609fbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…f11fbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 56c | 498.58$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.1 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 46c | 456.79$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.4 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 46c | 456.79$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.4 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 45c | 442.69$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.55 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 45c | 442.69$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.55 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 45c | 442.69$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.55 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 42c | 420.44$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.1 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 76c | 407.32$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Yes | 14c | 398.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 67c | 395.15$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.01 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 52c | 384.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 25c | 358.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes | 9c | 345.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes | 11c | 335.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…a3b6backed No | 76c | 301.01$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed No | 77c | 284.98$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 25c | 270.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 50c | 261.51$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.91 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed No | 56c | 251.02$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497d…944cbacked Yes | 23c | 244.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 243.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4e…4f43backed Yes | 58c | 241.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 27c | 232.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 11c | 223.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 27c | 218.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 21c | 218.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 218.42$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…e87dbacked Yes | 48c | 217.1$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 46c | 209.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 46c | 204.63$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 196.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 24c | 194.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 46c | 187.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.08 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 173.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Yes | 59c | 167.26$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed No | 42c | 163.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…f3babacked Yes | 24c | 160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 22c | 157.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 74c | 156.3$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 57c | 152.01$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…7696backed Yes | 17c | 148.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Yes | 17c | 135.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.4wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 19c | 133.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 45c | 132.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Yes | 59c | 128.24$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 43c | 124.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +9.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 18c | 121$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 77c | 119.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 11c | 118.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed No | 56c | 108.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Yes | 13c | 100.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…ad1cbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 58c | 91.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Yes | 13c | 88.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked Yes | 24c | 81.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e2…13ffbacked Yes | 59c | 79.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 79.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 62c | 78.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 43c | 78.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 28c | 74.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 17c | 71.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 40c | 67.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 54c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.4wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 45c | 62.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 56c | 61.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked No | 43c | 55.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 80c | 55.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 69c | 54.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-06?this page
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-06?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.