TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Swansea City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,971 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes31c16,216$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,216.446230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No62c9,413$5,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,808.092,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No62c7,099$4,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,434.074,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes31c6,152$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,244.735345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No70c3,806$2,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,653.431,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c3,640$2,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,526.396,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes60c2,083$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.3319652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c1,675$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.462,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes44c1,582$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.291,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked No6c1,500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-50.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed No74c1,427$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0562050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No69c954.97$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.0353344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed No72c945$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes39c904.5$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.1923556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No27c695.73$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0245142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes30c613.28$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.4516757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No74c574.21$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.354564.4%29 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No57c572.74$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.1257150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35014845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes30c432.7$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.8976842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No70c417.14$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.7739555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes26c389.42$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.5780953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd851…4616backed Yes23c369.19$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.682536%9 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes61c327.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.864744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd43b…5913backed Yes80c316.6$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.321637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.57045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No70c290.21$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039857.1%56 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes26c285$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.969851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes59c282.03$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6330057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes59c282.03$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.636462.5%40 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No44c254.53$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9467042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcdde…0b07backed No14c247$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9240%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes30c245.19$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.635044%22 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes38c228.21$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7416753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No69c223.47$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3410655.7%59 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes39c206.7$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.6127552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.313852.6%20 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+72.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No39c190.91$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4574156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Yes68c179.5$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9303…0bc7backed Yes32c178.38$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e2…13ffbacked No71c168.52$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.65425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed No71c161.97$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.295429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c158.08$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9884549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes29c157$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1122420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c01…f06cbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes31c154.84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.846543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c150.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.12,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No69c146.54$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5511055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes19c131.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5827227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes26c102$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4827752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7515738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7410554.3%57 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4e…4f43backed Yes56c91.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.053339.4%13 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Yes53c90.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.693275%24 W · 8 L+7.4wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+71.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes29c89.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.639035.6%32 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Yes29c88.37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.746866.2%45 W · 23 L+9.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x542b…f11fbacked No68c79.63$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.152166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x557d…72f3backed No71c71.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.041353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No58c71.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2541956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x497d…944cbacked No71c69.32$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes52c68.62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.296443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes62c66.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes26c65.38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3810753.3%57 W · 50 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No70c60.83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.587960.8%48 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes63c54.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.361,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec14…ed5abacked No70c52.86$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.727236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No54c48.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1242324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9c7…7ddebacked Yes32c46.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd42…9588backed Yes26c46.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.151553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffbb…7a04backed Yes80c46.1$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.221442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked No72c42.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.371546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No73c41.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6420040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b5…c197backed Yes74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.42075%15 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52a3…bf2fbacked Yes27c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+152.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes29c39.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0851516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No41c38.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9712954.3%70 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No70c38.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9320651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dbf…f6a0backed Yes55c38.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes31c34.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7573258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e35…ee1abacked No73c34.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253663.9%23 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No79c33.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.41,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e59…cc2ebacked Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.251442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked No34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.16346%29 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No71c24.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4518358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No61c23.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410049%49 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2997…cf48backed Yes73c22.86$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Yes60c22.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.972360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Yes66c20.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.034472.7%32 W · 12 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked No52c19.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.393145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed No73c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.685869%40 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No71c15.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0830666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xbf84…d933backed No71c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes73c13.82$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.694637%17 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.524062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.