TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x542b…f11f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$12.25
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$29.92
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Swansea City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.25
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.08
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+37%+$9.25
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$14.05
Will Liverpool beat Crystal Palace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$40.8
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$29.77
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$74.25
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+29.2%+$46.76
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
Will Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14.3
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+85.2%+$173.95
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$476
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$55
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Plasma >$6B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$119
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Will Inter win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.75
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$6.75
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Will Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Manchester City beat Juventus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 16 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$85.7
Will Notre Dame make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$170.17
Will Ohio State win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Georgia vs. Mississippi Statebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Vanderbilt vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Ohio State vs. Washingtonbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$18.75
Texas vs. Arizona Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+25%+$3.75
Penn State vs. Boise Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.23
Indiana vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+83.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-63.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+53.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+94.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$39.9
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$13.6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$1,014
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will Columbus Crew beat D.C. United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+37%+$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$6.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Concacaf Gold Cup: USA vs. Costa Rica (To Advance) backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$8.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 12 above $435?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Speed Chess QF: Lazavik vs Niemannbacked Niemann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$82.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 100k and 125k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.