Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0acc977e03bddcd667e5f6c3bfa1397790dd22525b64703abe71d8b4cdefab83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,108,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,108,979 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 23c | 200,000$46,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,727.68 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Yes | 75c | 194,545$145,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,636.14 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 77c | 172,987$133,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,787.01 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 75c | 164,539$123,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,134.76 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed No | 25c | 75,000$18,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,749.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Yes | 75c | 74,894$56,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,723.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 25c | 64,714$16,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,178.46 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 76c | 62,738$47,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,991.38 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 75c | 50,000$37,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500.02 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 25c | 48,271$12,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,028.29 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 25c | 44,464$10,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,940.5 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 22c | 41,643$9,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,168.96 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 25c | 32,718$8,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,179.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed No | 24c | 26,500$6,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,360 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 25c | 21,133$5,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,283.16 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 75c | 21,000$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 25c | 20,800$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 24c | 20,043$4,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,874.29 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 25c | 19,256$4,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,813.97 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 1c | 18,909$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.01 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 75c | 15,105$11,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,715.43 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 25c | 14,488$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,622 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 14,477$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.16 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…05b2backed No | 23c | 13,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 24c | 12,320$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.57 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 25c | 11,837$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked No | 29c | 11,500$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,334.98 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 1c | 11,000$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 25c | 11,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6431…ab69backed Yes | 75c | 10,123$7,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked No | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Yes | 73c | 9,264$6,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 25c | 9,081$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.23 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 24c | 9,021$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 23c | 8,955$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.65 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 25c | 8,882$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.53 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 25c | 8,386$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.51 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Yes | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 7,671$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.01 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed No | 25c | 7,664$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 7,081$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…4034backed No | 24c | 6,612$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Yes | 75c | 6,608$4,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.92 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Yes | 69c | 6,500$4,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…1f2ebacked No | 25c | 6,399$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 77c | 6,333$4,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.74 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 24c | 5,746$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 25c | 5,360$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e4…5b5cbacked Yes | 75c | 5,333$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 24c | 5,240$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.6 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Yes | 77c | 4,513$3,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 23c | 4,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed No | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 26c | 4,029$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.45 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed No | 24c | 4,024$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 24c | 3,955$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.13 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 72c | 3,947$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.19 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 25c | 3,800$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 75c | 3,535$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.75 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 75c | 3,383$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.59 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 76c | 3,319$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.09 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 77c | 3,247$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.75 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.98 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 23c | 3,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.96 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…de25backed Yes | 76c | 2,936$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 68c | 2,921$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.31 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Yes | 76c | 2,916$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed Yes | 75c | 2,820$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 24c | 2,778$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.72 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 76c | 2,767$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.08 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 75c | 2,700$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 25c | 2,660$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…65d8backed No | 25c | 2,660$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…509ebacked Yes | 76c | 2,642$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.04 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd0…3373backed Yes | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…8e8dbacked Yes | 76c | 2,623$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.03 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed No | 30c | 2,586$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.72 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 25c | 2,448$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Yes | 78c | 2,281$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 25c | 2,265$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.24 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 73c | 2,200$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 72c | 2,083$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed No | 24c | 2,074$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.83 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 25c | 2,074$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.57 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 77c | 1,948$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.05 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 25c | 1,935$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.47 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…c667backed No | 24c | 1,900$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Yes | 75c | 1,880$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.1 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 25c | 1,877$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.1 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.