Token Launches · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1a688022716f2eabf93e18d8c1085d224c49a437716228554000f31b413d778
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 78c | 18,538$14,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.02 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Yes | 78c | 11,610$9,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…10f2backed No | 40c | 5,127$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddc…03c1backed No | 2c | 5,098$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…02a7backed No | 76c | 4,197$3,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…5991backed No | 53c | 4,095$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b8…4834backed Yes | 49c | 4,044$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed No | 2c | 3,934$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f3…ceb4backed No | 51c | 3,585$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf880…135dbacked Yes | 56c | 3,177$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf017…1823backed No | 45c | 3,112$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…42e9backed No | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…29abbacked Yes | 60c | 2,991$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 49c | 2,907$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.99 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 56c | 2,894$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.79 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 34c | 2,755$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…b838backed Yes | 47c | 2,736$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…e4cfbacked No | 38c | 2,654$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.34 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -78%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 12c | 2,363$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.45per pick | 14cpaid | +416.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x90fb…1807backed Yes | 69c | 2,215$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.44 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 11c | 2,180$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +371.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 55c | 2,038$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.76 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cf…7f5dbacked No | 1c | 1,999$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc628…54f0backed Yes | 76c | 1,972$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.63 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 15c | 1,898$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.62 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f7…9ab2backed No | 59c | 1,857$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…4f91backed No | 48c | 1,795$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff8…14efbacked Yes | 44c | 1,700$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…fda5backed Yes | 44c | 1,596$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…56eabacked No | 77c | 1,559$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…bc55backed Yes | 46c | 1,553$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,522$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.65 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +565.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…f0fdbacked No | 1c | 1,512$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…7690backed Yes | 77c | 1,420$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 1,230$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094d…c6abbacked Yes | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Yes | 62c | 1,168$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 52c | 1,112$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.21 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 34c | 1,085$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.85 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…5495backed Yes | 67c | 1,007$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…c45bbacked Yes | 60c | 989.54$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 60c | 988.83$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cff…2349backed No | 59c | 988.79$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 25c | 966.51$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.63 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked Yes | 60c | 928.5$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…0ea8backed Yes | 24c | 880$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…182abacked Yes | 61c | 817.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…d376backed No | 52c | 801.64$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 18c | 776$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.32per pick | 12cpaid | +985.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 65c | 772.31$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 49c | 763.34$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.72 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +8.0wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 64c | 739.3$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.15 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 31c | 729.42$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…9bd2backed No | 72c | 721.15$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Yes | 54c | 699.62$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…50b4backed Yes | 23c | 679.67$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…b745backed Yes | 45c | 592$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…1c4abacked Yes | 35c | 572.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fef…8a8fbacked No | 42c | 563.23$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…9f30backed No | 52c | 561.21$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 39c | 544.93$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…a399backed Yes | 48c | 531.33$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80de…ef85backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…3983backed No | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 45c | 496.27$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.23 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…cdc6backed Yes | 28c | 491.72$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 61c | 482.21$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.46 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…ca54backed Yes | 62c | 482.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…186fbacked Yes | 43c | 460.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 23c | 444.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 47c | 414.76$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…c6e3backed No | 7c | 401.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 34c | 399.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.19 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…30babacked Yes | 39c | 379.53$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…4730backed Yes | 27c | 375$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1111…ca23backed Yes | 27c | 364.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.23 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 45c | 364.14$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Yes | 74c | 361.4$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…be8cbacked Yes | 50c | 353.9$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.95 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed Yes | 64c | 350$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe55c…8a38backed Yes | 35c | 333.85$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e22…19cebacked Yes | 46c | 331.41$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…98dbbacked No | 4c | 316.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24aa…cd37backed Yes | 56c | 309.59$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +311.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 305.32$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.01 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked No | 50c | 302.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed No | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ef…bf20backed Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426c…46c9backed No | 68c | 286.09$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1e13backed Yes | 41c | 285$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…8637backed No | 57c | 271.15$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 42c | 269.45$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…413ebacked Yes | 38c | 264.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…6c17backed No | 59c | 256.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…3006backed Yes | 45c | 252.73$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…5731backed Yes | 27c | 246$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a346backed Yes | 34c | 242.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4958…d14ebacked No | 29c | 239.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.