College Football · resolved market
Texas vs. Arizona State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ba3a350185e925caf4287283648cbb0f310be494389484b08beb59926229248
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texasof Texas, Arizona State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $618,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $632,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $618,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Arizona State | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Arizona State | 14c | 44,321$6,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,213.18 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Arizona State | 3c | 13,859$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.51 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Arizona State | 13c | 12,193$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.67 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Arizona State | 21c | 10,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed Arizona State | 15c | 10,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Arizona State | 7c | 9,897$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.97 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Arizona State | 24c | 9,613$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.67 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Texas | 70c | 9,500$6,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…f2e0backed Arizona State | 4c | 9,294$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Arizona State | 1c | 9,227$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Arizona State | 20c | 9,137$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.8 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Arizona State | 3c | 8,623$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.79 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Arizona State | 21c | 7,171$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.65 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.32per pick | 38cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Arizona State | 24c | 6,319$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…699dbacked Arizona State | 4c | 5,896$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Arizona State | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Arizona State | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.98 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Texas | 35c | 4,715$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.87 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Texas | 59c | 4,204$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.78 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…cc82backed Arizona State | 64c | 4,165$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Arizona State | 13c | 4,075$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Arizona State | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…df9ebacked Arizona State | 5c | 3,529$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00b…9c89backed Arizona State | 22c | 3,513$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Texas | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…2f6cbacked Arizona State | 4c | 2,789$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Arizona State | 15c | 2,695$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.12 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Arizona State | 14c | 2,168$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Arizona State | 9c | 2,059$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Texas | 68c | 2,001$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.1 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…ec74backed Arizona State | 1c | 2,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Texas | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Arizona State | 21c | 1,907$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x405a…6382backed Arizona State | 20c | 1,885$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…dde1backed Texas | 80c | 1,885$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Arizona State | 1c | 1,875$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Arizona State | 19c | 1,753$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Texas | 80c | 1,617$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe639…9122backed Arizona State | 33c | 1,602$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Arizona State | 8c | 1,585$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…e696backed Arizona State | 18c | 1,500$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…6623backed Arizona State | 19c | 1,403$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…5238backed Arizona State | 15c | 1,364$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…cce0backed Arizona State | 20c | 1,345$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1596…4361backed Arizona State | 20c | 1,301$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefed…1fffbacked Texas | 80c | 1,301$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Arizona State | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…4d8fbacked Arizona State | 8c | 1,242$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Arizona State | 1c | 1,207$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Arizona State | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Arizona State | 1c | 1,071$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Arizona State | 4c | 1,052$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Arizona State | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Arizona State | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Arizona State | 13c | 1,000$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…2037backed Arizona State | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Arizona State | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Arizona State | 18c | 999.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Texas | 72c | 996.11$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fb…2bfdbacked Arizona State | 11c | 994.57$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…84bbbacked Arizona State | 20c | 985$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Arizona State | 7c | 980.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…496abacked Arizona State | 20c | 980$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Arizona State | 20c | 959.42$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.08 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8451…a27dbacked Arizona State | 19c | 958.45$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Texas | 80c | 957.23$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.45 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Texas | 70c | 946.32$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.77 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a2…8a37backed Arizona State | 2c | 841.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…1028backed Arizona State | 13c | 818.03$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71eb…8f3dbacked Arizona State | 9c | 816.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…7507backed Texas | 50c | 811.17$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Texas | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Arizona State | 4c | 799.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed Arizona State | 20c | 751.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Arizona State | 15c | 750$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Arizona State | 4c | 738.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Arizona State | 17c | 726.72$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Arizona State | 21c | 705.66$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.68 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Arizona State | 19c | 699.98$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e0…8412backed Arizona State | 15c | 678.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Arizona State | 69c | 581.47$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.85 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Arizona State | 15c | 540$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f31…a253backed Arizona State | 46c | 540$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbd…3c7abacked Texas | 77c | 533.19$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.19 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…6775backed Arizona State | 17c | 529.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Texas | 79c | 526.68$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Arizona State | 49c | 500$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Texas | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Texas | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Arizona State | 15c | 499.27$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Arizona State | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Arizona State | 7c | 465.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…36ddbacked Arizona State | 21c | 452.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Arizona State | 70c | 427.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 69cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Arizona State | 25c | 410$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Texas | 78c | 405.08$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Texas | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…a9d8backed Texas | 40c | 400$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e16…ce1ebacked Texas | 80c | 359.83$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.