TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Inter win on 2025-08-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$600,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$659,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $600,829 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0764…e01fbacked No28c479,741$136,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136,624.91030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+72.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes72c287,140$206,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,018.285955.9%33 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Yes71c115,555$82,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,510.951154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes71c55,000$39,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,8101145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc04d…69e7backed Yes72c14,014$10,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,924.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes71c12,300$8,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,56716045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No28c11,667$3,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,288.0730%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ff1…2890backed Yes72c11,495$8,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,269.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f2…212ebacked Yes72c6,949$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a7…818bbacked Yes72c2,906$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No29c2,550$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.513517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes71c2,028$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.4533357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No30c1,871$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.631625%4 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a2b…411bbacked Yes71c1,831$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes71c1,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4353948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed No29c1,484$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.023943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes72c1,478$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.782334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No23c1,003$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.384037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2902330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes70c996.85$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.061233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes71c950$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.115635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No27c694.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6511832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b90…f4f2backed Yes72c648.61$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Yes72c596$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes71c586.89$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.22152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes71c410.43$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4231738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes70c401.73$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.521926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11612657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes72c370$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.271457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005560%33 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6103…3b6bbacked No28c325$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-53.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes72c319.44$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.446243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42a8…81f5backed Yes72c316.67$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.672540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb36c…8715backed No30c310$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Yes71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9c…e860backed Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.782951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+52.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7826744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes72c256.94$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.946547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes72c224.15$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.764969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…7355backed Yes72c212.88$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked No29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506822.1%15 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No30c170$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5114742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1324…3931backed Yes73c165.38$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No29c149.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf783…9037backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5be…c98dbacked Yes72c140.28$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes72c140.28$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.286553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…c57abacked Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes73c137.74$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.19944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda17…e752backed Yes72c132.85$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c7e…3748backed Yes67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No28c117.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.988620.9%18 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes70c107.14$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.14977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad14…04febacked Yes71c105.18$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2814254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284663%29 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf566…bbb9backed No29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.21540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Yes72c76.39$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed6…a111backed Yes69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No28c71.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1627226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa615…1bd5backed Yes71c70.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.432962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x879b…2f18backed Yes73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7902…43f8backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd970…c9efbacked Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e09…f2d9backed No29c68.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…827ebacked Yes71c68.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked No31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202516%4 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4f3…7d49backed No29c61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.971258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e32…f587backed Yes72c55.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes72c50.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.52857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No28c49.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0341943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes73c45.85$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.381233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes72c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.613840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4951…ec9bbacked Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d62…b83fbacked Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa590…663ebacked Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3963…6241backed Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc928…b4c4backed No29c38.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53c5…9a52backed Yes71c38.65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd4d…4316backed Yes72c38.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x773b…790bbacked Yes72c38.35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc342…1718backed No29c38.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6901…d7b5backed Yes72c37.85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd6…c621backed Yes72c37.11$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2245…35cfbacked No29c36.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c58…b4e0backed Yes72c36.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3238…ff08backed No29c35.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Yes71c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab01…25d2backed No29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4321…d35bbacked Yes72c34.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa997…bc99backed Yes72c34.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.