TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool beat Crystal Palace?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,886 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked No40c21,823$8,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,818.210650%53 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No35c8,376$2,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,962.7331944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Yes65c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.924835.4%17 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd028…75f5backed Yes66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.491968.4%13 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0889…d579backed No43c2,946$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes60c2,486$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.029361.3%57 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fe0…5a3abacked Yes64c2,344$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe013…522fbacked Yes59c2,285$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd992…189fbacked Yes59c2,242$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf817…df2abacked Yes59c2,210$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No35c2,079$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.7722744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2b…d9f9backed No45c1,984$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.11742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+93.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe29…63e5backed Yes60c1,921$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.412045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes58c1,832$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.5940254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb6d…5bc6backed No44c1,591$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc4…c827backed No43c1,581$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No13c1,413$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7737841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes60c1,213$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.844939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4150…db54backed Yes57c1,164$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.34425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed No36c1,155$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.397240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes60c1,000$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4024447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x341c…ee7bbacked No43c972.12$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.01450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe338…5760backed Yes69c934.33$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.431618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-66.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes62c900.05$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.110848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69d7…b367backed No43c810.45$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1820…e3f7backed Yes62c650$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2493951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes57c602.74$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.183148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab2…a999backed No36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc86a…80e5backed Yes62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No36c499.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18022050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae7f…44afbacked Yes64c444.58$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.053043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Yes64c444$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8417143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…a9c2backed Yes59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1643959%23 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No7c400$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7813652.2%71 W · 65 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked No36c397.54$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.845750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes68c344.62$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2215554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes63c301.69$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.876747.8%32 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fb6…df1cbacked Yes66c301.52$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.521855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick72cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf631…e20fbacked No41c264.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No7c250$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.566031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes78c220$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0934251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes67c185.81$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3235328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Yes66c175.76$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.761947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae6f…7399backed Yes64c172.97$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.423148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes60c170$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.66440.6%26 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01a3…00e8backed No43c167.44$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c67…dfa8backed No37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb98…969dbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e1…0b47backed Yes60c150.92$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.372454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes65c150$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5342755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No41c146.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0513837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3834…658ebacked Yes66c128.79$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…42febacked No35c128.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.218633.7%29 W · 57 L-14.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x542b…f11fbacked Yes66c120$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.82166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes64c117$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.127448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked No40c116$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.241127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafa4…c5c1backed Yes59c110.2$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374429.5%13 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.518232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378851.1%45 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225825.9%15 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x028f…c9cbbacked Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No35c99.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9914450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4027…1afbbacked Yes59c99.15$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.651080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+44.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4630…a058backed No43c93.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…dc53backed Yes59c83.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd1…2c30backed Yes64c81.44$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ce7…27e7backed No43c73.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a80…2ce6backed Yes59c67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.471963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d91…863dbacked Yes78c66.87$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.711747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b4c…4d38backed Yes61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e2…0fa1backed Yes78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes65c63.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.372560%15 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fc…59babacked No43c63.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e4…24abbacked Yes79c63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.05742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dfe…4feebacked Yes65c61.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf69c…1dfebacked Yes59c59.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.32450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb682…b49dbacked Yes67c58.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b7…9a3cbacked Yes65c55.51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.431338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa57e…5e2abacked Yes65c54.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033a…ebf8backed Yes65c51.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05dd…fb87backed Yes66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1673…e40dbacked Yes64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a9b…1770backed Yes63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.51040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf7…7f88backed Yes64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc112…3841backed Yes65c49.77$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d8…f9c5backed Yes78c48.88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.754663%29 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes65c47.58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6532736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8829146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb91…a6d5backed Yes64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.882642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07a…2ceabacked Yes64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd4a…1104backed Yes65c46.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf89c…6659backed Yes66c46.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f41…e4b6backed Yes65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-47%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab7d…d04bbacked Yes66c41.61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cd…1402backed Yes66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.62441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e62…71f4backed Yes65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.462552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0728…7760backed Yes65c33.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.